Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 43.3%. A win for AVS had a probability of 29.55% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 0-1 with a probability of 12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.69%) and 0-2 (8.13%). The likeliest AVS win was 1-0 (9.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.83%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood.