Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gil Vicente win with a probability of 36.38%. A win for Boavista had a probability of 36.32% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gil Vicente win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.95%) and 0-2 (6.48%). The likeliest Boavista win was 1-0 (10.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.93%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
Result | ||
Boavista | Draw | Gil Vicente |
36.32% ( 0.28) | 27.29% ( -0.04) | 36.38% ( -0.24) |
Both teams to score 49.99% ( 0.13) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.47% ( 0.16) | 55.53% ( -0.16) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.29% ( 0.13) | 76.71% ( -0.13) |
Boavista Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.68% ( 0.25) | 29.31% ( -0.25) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.71% ( 0.31) | 65.29% ( -0.3) |
Gil Vicente Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.72% ( -0.06) | 29.28% ( 0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.76% ( -0.08) | 65.24% ( 0.08) |
Score Analysis |
Boavista | Draw | Gil Vicente |
1-0 @ 10.53% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 7.94% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 6.46% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 3.25% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 2.64% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 1.99% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.51% Total : 36.32% | 1-1 @ 12.93% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 8.58% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 4.87% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.9% Total : 27.29% | 0-1 @ 10.54% ( -0.08) 1-2 @ 7.95% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 6.48% ( -0.06) 1-3 @ 3.25% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 2.65% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 2% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.52% Total : 36.38% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 17 | 13 | 2 | 2 | 48 | 14 | 34 | 41 |
2 | Porto | 16 | 13 | 1 | 2 | 40 | 9 | 31 | 40 |
3 | Benfica | 17 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 38 | 11 | 27 | 38 |
4 | Braga | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 30 | 19 | 11 | 31 |
5 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 17 | 10 | 1 | 6 | 18 | 16 | 2 | 31 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 26 | 22 | 4 | 25 |
7 | Casa Pia | 17 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 24 |
8 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 22 | 25 | -3 | 22 |
9 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 17 | 4 | 8 | 5 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 20 |
10 | Rio AveRio Ave | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 27 | -10 | 19 |
11 | Gil Vicente | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 18 |
12 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 18 | 28 | -10 | 18 |
13 | Estrela Amadora | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 16 | 29 | -13 | 16 |
14 | AVS | 17 | 2 | 9 | 6 | 13 | 24 | -11 | 15 |
15 | AroucaArouca | 17 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 13 | 28 | -15 | 15 |
16 | SC FarenseFarense | 17 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 11 | 23 | -12 | 14 |
17 | Nacional | 16 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 11 | 23 | -12 | 13 |
18 | BoavistaBoavista | 17 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 26 | -15 | 12 |
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