Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 48.35%. A win for Blackpool had a probability of 28.21% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.39%) and 2-0 (7.35%). The likeliest Blackpool win was 1-2 (6.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.79%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Bolton Wanderers in this match.