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League One | Gameweek 17
Nov 23, 2024 at 12.30pm UK
University of Bolton Stadium
Blackpool

Bolton
2 - 1
Blackpool

Thomason (53'), Collins (90+4')
Thomason (36'), Sheehan (45+3'), Schon (50'), Johnston (85'), Collins (90+5')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Joseph (33')
Joseph (52'), Norburn (57'), Ashworth (78'), Evans (88'), Ballard (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Bolton Wanderers and Blackpool, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bolton 2-1 Fleetwood
Tuesday, November 12 at 7.45pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Blackpool 0-0 Northampton
Saturday, November 16 at 3pm in League One

We said: Bolton Wanderers 2-1 Blackpool

Bruce will hope that facing a North-West rival will inspire his side against the odds. However, we can only see a home win here, albeit in a competitive contest that may be decided in the closing stages. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 48.35%. A win for Blackpool had a probability of 28.21% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.39%) and 2-0 (7.35%). The likeliest Blackpool win was 1-2 (6.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.79%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Bolton Wanderers in this match.

Result
Bolton WanderersDrawBlackpool
48.35% (0.0030000000000001 0) 23.43% (-0.0019999999999989 -0) 28.21% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Both teams to score 59.84% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.56% (0.0030000000000001 0)41.44% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.16% (0.0030000000000001 0)63.84% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Bolton Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.65% (0.0030000000000001 0)17.34% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.27% (0.0030000000000001 0)47.73% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Blackpool Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.4% (0.00099999999999056 0)27.6%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.87% (0.00099999999999767 0)63.12%
Score Analysis
    Bolton Wanderers 48.35%
    Blackpool 28.21%
    Draw 23.43%
Bolton WanderersDrawBlackpool
2-1 @ 9.46%
1-0 @ 8.39%
2-0 @ 7.35%
3-1 @ 5.52%
3-0 @ 4.29%
3-2 @ 3.56%
4-1 @ 2.42% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-0 @ 1.88% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-2 @ 1.56%
Other @ 3.94%
Total : 48.35%
1-1 @ 10.79%
2-2 @ 6.09%
0-0 @ 4.79% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-3 @ 1.53%
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 23.43%
1-2 @ 6.95%
0-1 @ 6.16% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-2 @ 3.97%
1-3 @ 2.98%
2-3 @ 2.61%
0-3 @ 1.7%
1-4 @ 0.96%
Other @ 2.88%
Total : 28.21%

How you voted: Bolton vs Blackpool

Bolton Wanderers
85.7%
Draw
7.1%
Blackpool
7.1%
28
Head to Head
Feb 24, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 35
Blackpool
4-1
Bolton
Beesley (16', 68' pen.), Ekpiteta (27'), Gabriel (84')
Grimshaw (61')
Thomason (9')
Mendes Gomes (30'), Jones (51')
Santos (66')
Jan 30, 2024 7pm
Quarter-Finals
Blackpool
0-0
Bolton
(Aggregate 0-0 | Blackpool win 5-4 on penalties)
Connolly (27')
Santos (5'), Thomason (87')
Nov 11, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 17
Bolton
1-0
Blackpool
Thomason (74')
Sheehan (21'), Evatt (22'), Maghoma (36'), Baxter (77'), Cogley (78'), Santos (80')

Thompson (57')
Feb 25, 2020 7.45pm
Gameweek 26
Blackpool
2-1
Bolton
Ronan (13'), Dewsbury-Hall (90')
Husband (74'), Dewsbury-Hall (90')
Bryan (88')
Hamilton (33'), Murphy (66')
Oct 7, 2019 8pm
Gameweek 12
Bolton
0-0
Blackpool
Verlinden (44')
Heneghan (44')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham24175242172556
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe26166452282454
3Wrexham26156538201851
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield25146539211848
5Barnsley2612684036442
6Stockport CountyStockport26118740281241
7Reading2512584036441
8Leyton Orient25115932221038
9Bolton WanderersBolton2511593839-138
10Mansfield TownMansfield2411493228437
11Lincoln CityLincoln269892930-135
12Charlton AthleticCharlton249782925434
13Rotherham UnitedRotherham259792826234
14Blackpool2571083437-331
15Stevenage248791922-331
16Exeter CityExeter2594122832-431
17Wigan AthleticWigan2486102324-130
18Bristol Rovers2584132539-1428
19Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2575134146-526
20Northampton TownNorthampton2668122440-1626
21Crawley TownCrawley2456132544-1921
22Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2555152645-1920
23Cambridge UnitedCambridge2546152445-2118
24Burton Albion2529142139-1815


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