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League One | Gameweek 19
Nov 25, 2023 at 3pm UK
University of Bolton Stadium
Exeter City

Bolton
7 - 0
Exeter

Iredale (34'), Adeboyejo (43'), Maghoma (55'), Charles (63', 74'), Dempsey (86'), N'Lundulu (90+2')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Jules (18')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Bolton Wanderers and Exeter City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Stockport 0-2 Bolton
Tuesday, November 14 at 7.30pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Swindon 0-1 Exeter
Tuesday, November 21 at 7pm in EFL Trophy

We said: Bolton Wanderers 2-0 Exeter City

The Wanderers have won matches in various ways throughout the domestic campaign, while Exeter often look unstable and inconsistent at the back, which is why we believe Bolton will continue their winning ways and push towards the top spot in the league. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 58.15%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for Exeter City had a probability of 20.71%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.66%) and 1-0 (8.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.67%), while for a Exeter City win it was 1-2 (5.51%). The actual scoreline of 7-0 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bolton Wanderers would win this match.

Result
Bolton WanderersDrawExeter City
58.15% (-0.489 -0.49) 21.13% (0.171 0.17) 20.71% (0.318 0.32)
Both teams to score 59.16% (-0.088999999999999 -0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.58% (-0.354 -0.35)38.41% (0.35299999999999 0.35)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.3% (-0.373 -0.37)60.7% (0.374 0.37)
Bolton Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87% (-0.256 -0.26)13% (0.256 0.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.48% (-0.523 -0.52)39.52% (0.524 0.52)
Exeter City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68% (0.097999999999999 0.1)31.99% (-0.099000000000004 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.54% (0.114 0.11)68.45% (-0.114 -0.11)
Score Analysis
    Bolton Wanderers 58.15%
    Exeter City 20.71%
    Draw 21.13%
Bolton WanderersDrawExeter City
2-1 @ 9.87% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-0 @ 8.66% (-0.022 -0.02)
1-0 @ 8.49% (0.061 0.06)
3-1 @ 6.71% (-0.065 -0.07)
3-0 @ 5.89% (-0.073 -0.07)
3-2 @ 3.82% (-0.026 -0.03)
4-1 @ 3.42% (-0.067 -0.07)
4-0 @ 3% (-0.066 -0.07)
4-2 @ 1.95% (-0.032 -0.03)
5-1 @ 1.4% (-0.041 -0.04)
5-0 @ 1.23% (-0.04 -0.04)
Other @ 3.73%
Total : 58.15%
1-1 @ 9.67% (0.093999999999999 0.09)
2-2 @ 5.62% (0.016 0.02)
0-0 @ 4.16% (0.069 0.07)
3-3 @ 1.45% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 21.13%
1-2 @ 5.51% (0.068 0.07)
0-1 @ 4.74% (0.092000000000001 0.09)
0-2 @ 2.7% (0.059 0.06)
2-3 @ 2.14% (0.011 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.09% (0.031 0.03)
0-3 @ 1.03% (0.025 0.03)
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 20.71%

How you voted: Bolton vs Exeter

Bolton Wanderers
94.7%
Draw
5.3%
Exeter City
0.0%
19
Head to Head
Apr 7, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 40
Exeter
0-1
Bolton
Bradley (27')
Dec 17, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 22
Bolton
2-0
Exeter
Bradley (8'), Charles (26')
May 1, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 45
Bolton
1-2
Exeter
Jones (15')
Baptiste (32'), Williams (37')
Williams (49'), Sweeney (90+6')
Key (27'), Hartridge (29'), Willmott (42'), Taylor (79'), Sparkes (84')
Jan 12, 2021 7pm
Gameweek 23
Exeter
1-1
Bolton
Santos (62' og.)
Atangana (67')
Gnahoua (73')
Sarcevic (53'), Brockbank (60')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe16122236181838
2Wrexham17104326111534
3Birmingham CityBirmingham15103228151333
4Stockport CountyStockport1786329171230
5Huddersfield TownHuddersfield1692525151029
6Barnsley177642622427
7Reading168352624227
8Bolton WanderersBolton168352526-127
9Lincoln CityLincoln177552321226
10Mansfield TownMansfield157352017324
11Exeter CityExeter167271415-123
12Charlton AthleticCharlton166461717022
13Peterborough UnitedPeterborough166373229321
14Bristol Rovers176381723-621
15Wigan AthleticWigan165561513220
16Blackpool175572430-620
17Stevenage165471116-519
18Northampton TownNorthampton174671923-418
19Rotherham UnitedRotherham164571419-517
20Crawley TownCrawley174491527-1216
21Leyton Orient164391420-615
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge163491425-1113
23Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1632111629-1311
24Burton Albion1615101529-148


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