Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 58.15%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for Exeter City had a probability of 20.71%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.66%) and 1-0 (8.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.67%), while for a Exeter City win it was 1-2 (5.51%). The actual scoreline of 7-0 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bolton Wanderers would win this match.