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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 53.72%. A win for Wrexham had a probability of 23.89% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.65%) and 2-0 (8.18%). The likeliest Wrexham win was 1-2 (6.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.31%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
Result | ||
Bolton Wanderers | Draw | Wrexham |
53.72% ( -0.61) | 22.4% ( 0.15) | 23.89% ( 0.46) |
Both teams to score 59.18% ( 0.03) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.58% ( -0.21) | 40.42% ( 0.21) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.21% ( -0.22) | 62.8% ( 0.22) |
Bolton Wanderers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.94% ( -0.28) | 15.06% ( 0.28) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
56.43% ( -0.53) | 43.58% ( 0.53) |
Wrexham Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.67% ( 0.26) | 30.33% ( -0.26) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.49% ( 0.31) | 66.51% ( -0.31) |
Score Analysis |
Bolton Wanderers | Draw | Wrexham |
2-1 @ 9.77% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 8.65% ( 0) 2-0 @ 8.18% ( -0.08) 3-1 @ 6.16% ( -0.08) 3-0 @ 5.16% ( -0.1) 3-2 @ 3.68% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 2.92% ( -0.06) 4-0 @ 2.44% ( -0.07) 4-2 @ 1.74% ( -0.03) 5-1 @ 1.1% ( -0.03) 5-0 @ 0.93% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.99% Total : 53.72% | 1-1 @ 10.31% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 5.83% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 4.57% ( 0.04) 3-3 @ 1.46% ( 0) Other @ 0.23% Total : 22.39% | 1-2 @ 6.16% ( 0.09) 0-1 @ 5.45% ( 0.09) 0-2 @ 3.25% ( 0.08) 1-3 @ 2.45% ( 0.05) 2-3 @ 2.32% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 1.29% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.97% Total : 23.89% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 15 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 35 | 18 | 17 | 35 |
2 | Wrexham | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 25 | 11 | 14 | 31 |
3 | Stockport CountyStockport | 17 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 29 | 17 | 12 | 30 |
4 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 14 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 26 | 15 | 11 | 30 |
5 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 26 |
6 | Barnsley | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 24 | 20 | 4 | 26 |
7 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 23 | 20 | 3 | 26 |
8 | Reading | 15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 24 | 22 | 2 | 26 |
9 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 24 | 25 | -1 | 26 |
10 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 20 | 16 | 4 | 24 |
11 | Exeter CityExeter | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 14 | 13 | 1 | 23 |
12 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 32 | 29 | 3 | 21 |
13 | Bristol Rovers | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 17 | 21 | -4 | 21 |
14 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 16 | 17 | -1 | 19 |
15 | Stevenage | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 11 | 16 | -5 | 19 |
16 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 18 | 21 | -3 | 18 |
17 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 17 |
18 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 17 |
19 | Blackpool | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 22 | 30 | -8 | 17 |
20 | Crawley TownCrawley | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 15 | 27 | -12 | 16 |
21 | Leyton Orient | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 15 |
22 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 15 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 13 | 24 | -11 | 12 |
23 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 16 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 16 | 29 | -13 | 11 |
24 | Burton Albion | 15 | 1 | 5 | 9 | 15 | 28 | -13 | 8 |
> League One Full Table |