Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 54.71%. A win for Vitoria de Guimaraes had a probability of 22.99% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.9%) and 2-0 (8.47%). The likeliest Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 1-2 (5.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.31%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Braga | Draw | Vitoria de Guimaraes |
54.71% ( -0) | 22.29% ( -0.04) | 22.99% ( 0.04) |
Both teams to score 58.4% ( 0.17) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.07% ( 0.2) | 40.93% ( -0.21) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.68% ( 0.21) | 63.32% ( -0.21) |
Braga Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.09% ( 0.07) | 14.91% ( -0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
56.71% ( 0.14) | 43.29% ( -0.14) |
Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.64% ( 0.14) | 31.36% ( -0.14) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.27% ( 0.16) | 67.73% ( -0.17) |
Score Analysis |
Braga | Draw | Vitoria de Guimaraes |
2-1 @ 9.82% ( -0) 1-0 @ 8.9% ( -0.06) 2-0 @ 8.47% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 6.23% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 5.37% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 3.61% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 2.96% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 2.56% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.72% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 1.13% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 0.97% ( 0) Other @ 2.97% Total : 54.71% | 1-1 @ 10.31% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 5.69% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 4.68% ( -0.04) 3-3 @ 1.4% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.21% Total : 22.29% | 1-2 @ 5.98% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 5.42% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 3.14% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.31% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.2% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 1.22% ( 0) Other @ 2.71% Total : 22.99% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 14 | 12 | 0 | 2 | 43 | 10 | 33 | 36 |
2 | Porto | 14 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 33 | 9 | 24 | 34 |
3 | Benfica | 13 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 32 | 8 | 24 | 32 |
4 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 14 | 9 | 0 | 5 | 16 | 13 | 3 | 27 |
5 | Braga | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 25 | 16 | 9 | 25 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 18 | 14 | 4 | 22 |
7 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 20 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 14 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 19 |
9 | Casa Pia | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 17 | -4 | 17 |
10 | Gil Vicente | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 24 | -7 | 16 |
11 | Rio AveRio Ave | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 16 |
12 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 12 | 21 | -9 | 14 |
13 | Nacional | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 17 | -9 | 12 |
14 | AVS | 14 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 11 | 22 | -11 | 12 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 12 | 24 | -12 | 12 |
16 | BoavistaBoavista | 14 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 19 | -9 | 11 |
17 | AroucaArouca | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 8 | 23 | -15 | 11 |
18 | SC FarenseFarense | 14 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 7 | 20 | -13 | 9 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |