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Bristol Rovers
League One | Gameweek 30
Jan 27, 2024 at 3pm UK
Memorial Stadium
Oxford United

Bristol Rovers
3 - 1
Oxford Utd

Martin (16'), Thomas (22'), Vale (77')
Wilson (34')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Harris (58')
Stevens (45+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Bristol Rovers and Oxford United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Bristol Rovers 1-2 Oxford United

Bristol Rovers are enduring a wretched run of form but have the opportunity to put things right quickly this weekend, although the visit of Oxford will be a tough assignment. The U's need a win to keep the playoff-chasing pack at arm's length, and we feel that Des Buckingham's men will be able to secure three points on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bristol Rovers win with a probability of 40.15%. A win for Oxford United had a probability of 35.3% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bristol Rovers win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.07%) and 2-0 (6.15%). The likeliest Oxford United win was 1-2 (8.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.41%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bristol Rovers would win this match.

Result
Bristol RoversDrawOxford United
40.15% (0.0030000000000001 0) 24.55% (-0.0010000000000012 -0) 35.3% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Both teams to score 59.19%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.27% (0.0010000000000048 0)43.73% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.88% (0.0010000000000048 0)66.12% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Bristol Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.2% (0.0010000000000048 0)21.79% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45% (0.0030000000000001 0)55% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Oxford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.68%24.31% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.3% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)58.69%
Score Analysis
    Bristol Rovers 40.15%
    Oxford United 35.3%
    Draw 24.55%
Bristol RoversDrawOxford United
2-1 @ 8.7%
1-0 @ 8.07%
2-0 @ 6.15%
3-1 @ 4.42% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-2 @ 3.12%
3-0 @ 3.12%
4-1 @ 1.68%
4-2 @ 1.19% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-0 @ 1.19%
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 40.15%
1-1 @ 11.41%
2-2 @ 6.15%
0-0 @ 5.3% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-3 @ 1.47%
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 24.55%
1-2 @ 8.07% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
0-1 @ 7.49%
0-2 @ 5.3% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-3 @ 3.81% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 2.9%
0-3 @ 2.5%
1-4 @ 1.35%
2-4 @ 1.03%
Other @ 2.86%
Total : 35.3%

How you voted: Bristol Rovers vs Oxford Utd

Bristol Rovers
33.3%
Draw
14.3%
Oxford United
52.4%
21
Head to Head
Oct 7, 2023 12.30pm
Gameweek 12
Oxford Utd
2-1
Bristol Rovers
Bodin (13'), Long (81')
Brannagan (15'), Moore (46'), Smyth (90')
Smyth (90+5'), Mills (90+6')
Collins (89')
Barton (16'), Martin (48'), Brown (57'), Finley (78')
Brown (63')
Feb 25, 2023 12.30pm
Gameweek 34
Oxford Utd
0-3
Bristol Rovers
Sinclair (22' pen.), Collins (28'), Hoole (75')
Aug 13, 2022 12.30pm
Gameweek 3
Bristol Rovers
1-0
Oxford Utd
Marquis (34')
Saunders (65'), Grant (90+2')

Seddon (29'), Moore (40'), Brannagan (90+3')
Nov 16, 2021 7pm
First Round Replays
Bristol Rovers
4-3
Oxford Utd
Finley (48'), Spence (110', 118'), Collins (115')
Evans (50'), Spence (107')
Taylor (57' pen.), Bodin (91'), Seddon (93')
Kane (4'), Bodin (38')
Nov 7, 2021 1pm
First Round
Oxford Utd
2-2
Bristol Rovers
Taylor (11'), McGuane (51')
Taylor (32')
Finley (45+2'), Evans (87' pen.)
Finley (33'), Coutts (45')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe16122236181838
2Wrexham17104326111534
3Birmingham CityBirmingham15103228151333
4Stockport CountyStockport1786329171230
5Huddersfield TownHuddersfield1692525151029
6Barnsley177642622427
7Reading168352624227
8Bolton WanderersBolton168352526-127
9Lincoln CityLincoln177552321226
10Mansfield TownMansfield157352017324
11Exeter CityExeter167271415-123
12Charlton AthleticCharlton166461717022
13Peterborough UnitedPeterborough166373229321
14Bristol Rovers176381723-621
15Wigan AthleticWigan165561513220
16Blackpool175572430-620
17Stevenage165471116-519
18Northampton TownNorthampton174671923-418
19Rotherham UnitedRotherham164571419-517
20Crawley TownCrawley174491527-1216
21Leyton Orient164391420-615
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge163491425-1113
23Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1632111629-1311
24Burton Albion1615101529-148


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