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Burton Albion
League One | Gameweek 42
Apr 1, 2024 at 3pm UK
Pirelli Stadium
Barnsley

Burton Albion
1 - 3
Barnsley

Powell (37')
FT(HT: 1-0)
McAtee (54', 64'), Connell (69')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's League One clash between Burton Albion and Barnsley, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Wigan 1-1 Burton Albion
Friday, March 29 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Barnsley 0-2 Cambridge
Friday, March 29 at 3pm in League One

We said: Burton Albion 1-2 Barnsley

Burton's recent form has been extremely poor, and they have only managed to triumph in six of their 19 home league matches this season. Barnsley are the second-best side on the road and are currently on a three-match winning run away from home. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnsley win with a probability of 56.51%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Burton Albion had a probability of 20.55%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barnsley win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.91%) and 1-2 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.89%), while for a Burton Albion win it was 1-0 (6.02%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Barnsley would win this match.

Result
Burton AlbionDrawBarnsley
20.55% (-0.287 -0.29) 22.95% (0.327 0.33) 56.51% (-0.035999999999994 -0.04)
Both teams to score 52.73% (-1.499 -1.5)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.2% (-1.779 -1.78)46.8% (1.782 1.78)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.94% (-1.685 -1.69)69.06% (1.688 1.69)
Burton Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.05% (-1.301 -1.3)36.96% (1.305 1.31)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.26% (-1.318 -1.32)73.74% (1.322 1.32)
Barnsley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.65% (-0.63500000000001 -0.64)16.35% (0.639 0.64)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.03% (-1.163 -1.16)45.97% (1.168 1.17)
Score Analysis
    Burton Albion 20.55%
    Barnsley 56.5%
    Draw 22.95%
Burton AlbionDrawBarnsley
1-0 @ 6.02% (0.237 0.24)
2-1 @ 5.42% (-0.093 -0.09)
2-0 @ 3% (0.015 0.02)
3-1 @ 1.8% (-0.097 -0.1)
3-2 @ 1.63% (-0.125 -0.13)
3-0 @ 0.99% (-0.031 -0.03)
Other @ 1.69%
Total : 20.55%
1-1 @ 10.89% (0.2 0.2)
0-0 @ 6.04% (0.441 0.44)
2-2 @ 4.91% (-0.193 -0.19)
3-3 @ 0.98% (-0.099 -0.1)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 22.95%
0-1 @ 10.94% (0.58 0.58)
0-2 @ 9.91% (0.314 0.31)
1-2 @ 9.86% (-0.032 -0.03)
0-3 @ 5.98% (0.063000000000001 0.06)
1-3 @ 5.95% (-0.15 -0.15)
2-3 @ 2.96% (-0.184 -0.18)
0-4 @ 2.71% (-0.03 -0.03)
1-4 @ 2.7% (-0.128 -0.13)
2-4 @ 1.34% (-0.115 -0.12)
0-5 @ 0.98% (-0.033 -0.03)
1-5 @ 0.98% (-0.069 -0.07)
Other @ 2.2%
Total : 56.5%

How you voted: Burton Albion vs Barnsley

Burton Albion
37.5%
Draw
6.3%
Barnsley
56.3%
16
Head to Head
Sep 16, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 8
Barnsley
2-0
Burton Albion
Cole (21', 68')
Apr 7, 2023 3pm
Dec 17, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 22
Barnsley
2-0
Burton Albion
Cole (36', 73')
Apr 6, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 41
Burton Albion
3-1
Barnsley
Allen (5'), Boyce (81'), Harness (89')
Boyce (8')
Woodrow (85' pen.)
Bahre (74'), Woodrow (83')
Feb 19, 2019 7.45pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe16122236181838
2Wrexham17104326111534
3Birmingham CityBirmingham15103228151333
4Stockport CountyStockport1786329171230
5Huddersfield TownHuddersfield1692525151029
6Barnsley177642622427
7Reading168352624227
8Bolton WanderersBolton168352526-127
9Lincoln CityLincoln177552321226
10Mansfield TownMansfield157352017324
11Exeter CityExeter167271415-123
12Charlton AthleticCharlton166461717022
13Peterborough UnitedPeterborough166373229321
14Bristol Rovers176381723-621
15Wigan AthleticWigan165561513220
16Blackpool175572430-620
17Stevenage165471116-519
18Northampton TownNorthampton174671923-418
19Rotherham UnitedRotherham164571419-517
20Crawley TownCrawley174491527-1216
21Leyton Orient164391420-615
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge163491425-1113
23Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1632111629-1311
24Burton Albion1615101529-148


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