Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 3
Feb 23, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
The Oval
Caernarfon1 - 8New Saints
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Caernarfon Town and The New Saints.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Cardiff MU 2-2 Caernarfon
Saturday, February 10 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League
Saturday, February 10 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Bala Town 0-1 New Saints
Friday, February 9 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League
Friday, February 9 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League
Goals
for
for
81
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a The New Saints win with a probability of 84.67%. A draw had a probability of 10% and a win for Caernarfon Town had a probability of 5.31%.
The most likely scoreline for a The New Saints win was 0-3 with a probability of 10.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.8%) and 0-4 (8.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.54%), while for a Caernarfon Town win it was 2-1 (1.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-8 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that The New Saints would win this match.
Result | ||
Caernarfon Town | Draw | The New Saints |
5.31% ( -1.13) | 10.01% ( -1.14) | 84.67% ( 2.26) |
Both teams to score 50.52% ( -2.33) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
75.76% ( 0.87) | 24.24% ( -0.87) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
56.08% ( 1.15) | 43.92% ( -1.15) |
Caernarfon Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
52.62% ( -2.71) | 47.38% ( 2.71) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
17.23% ( -2.1) | 82.77% ( 2.1) |
The New Saints Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
96.02% ( 0.49) | 3.98% ( -0.49) |