MX23RW : Sunday, January 12 19:31:13| >> :300:86500:86500:
Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 3
Feb 23, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
The Oval

Caernarfon
1 - 8
New Saints

Bradley (7')
FT(HT: 1-4)
Young (2', 34', 49'), Cieslewicz (30', 31'), Holden (55', 90'), Hudson (85')
Young (73')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Caernarfon Town and The New Saints.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cardiff MU 2-2 Caernarfon
Saturday, February 10 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Bala Town 0-1 New Saints
Friday, February 9 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a The New Saints win with a probability of 84.67%. A draw had a probability of 10% and a win for Caernarfon Town had a probability of 5.31%.

The most likely scoreline for a The New Saints win was 0-3 with a probability of 10.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.8%) and 0-4 (8.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.54%), while for a Caernarfon Town win it was 2-1 (1.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-8 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that The New Saints would win this match.

Result
Caernarfon TownDrawThe New Saints
5.31% (-1.1259 -1.13) 10.01% (-1.138 -1.14) 84.67% (2.264 2.26)
Both teams to score 50.52% (-2.327 -2.33)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
75.76% (0.871 0.87)24.24% (-0.873 -0.87)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
56.08% (1.145 1.15)43.92% (-1.147 -1.15)
Caernarfon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
52.62% (-2.708 -2.71)47.38% (2.708 2.71)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.23% (-2.103 -2.1)82.77% (2.101 2.1)
The New Saints Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
96.02% (0.492 0.49)3.98% (-0.4941 -0.49)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
83.19% (1.558 1.56)16.81% (-1.561 -1.56)
Score Analysis
    Caernarfon Town 5.31%
    The New Saints 84.67%
    Draw 10.01%
Caernarfon TownDrawThe New Saints
2-1 @ 1.7% (-0.32 -0.32)
1-0 @ 1.41% (-0.202 -0.2)
Other @ 2.21%
Total : 5.31%
1-1 @ 4.54% (-0.461 -0.46)
2-2 @ 2.73% (-0.397 -0.4)
0-0 @ 1.89% (-0.112 -0.11)
Other @ 0.85%
Total : 10.01%
0-3 @ 10.53% (0.54 0.54)
0-2 @ 9.8% (0.154 0.15)
0-4 @ 8.49% (0.728 0.73)
1-3 @ 7.87% (-0.184 -0.18)
1-2 @ 7.32% (-0.452 -0.45)
1-4 @ 6.34% (0.087 0.09)
0-1 @ 6.08% (-0.129 -0.13)
0-5 @ 5.47% (0.65 0.65)
1-5 @ 4.09% (0.202 0.2)
0-6 @ 2.94% (0.444 0.44)
2-3 @ 2.94% (-0.305 -0.31)
2-4 @ 2.37% (-0.152 -0.15)
1-6 @ 2.2% (0.184 0.18)
2-5 @ 1.53% (-0.039 -0.04)
0-7 @ 1.35% (0.245 0.25)
1-7 @ 1.01% (0.119 0.12)
Other @ 4.35%
Total : 84.67%

Head to Head
Dec 26, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 20
New Saints
2-1
Caernarfon
Williams (78'), Marriott (81')
Roberts (14'), Davies (45+1'), Davies (45+1'), Williams (82')
Lloyd (13')
Wynne (82')
Sep 26, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 9
Caernarfon
1-3
New Saints
Davies (6')
Clark (58'), Williams (63'), Brobbel (76')
Jan 3, 2023 7.45pm
Oct 25, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 8
New Saints
3-0
Caernarfon
Brobbel (16'), Wilson (42'), Dafydd (90+3')
Apr 23, 2022 12.45pm
Gameweek 10
New Saints
3-1
Caernarfon
McManus (2', 88'), Brobbel (42')
Dafydd (90+4')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
FT
Steelers
14-28
Ravens
6pm
Broncos
@
Bills
9.30pm
Packers
@
Eagles
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1The New SaintsNew Saints21160559263348
2Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont21145240152547
3Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest21116428101839
4Cardiff MUCardiff MU219573227532
5Caernarfon TownCaernarfon219483235-331
6Bala TownBala Town2161142621529
7Barry Town UnitedBarry218583137-629
8Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay217593224826
9Briton Ferry2263133345-1221
10Flint Town UnitedFlint Town2162132744-1720
11Newtown AFCNewtown2154122344-2119
12Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth2242161853-3514


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