Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cremonese win with a probability of 36.57%. A win for Cesena had a probability of 35.74% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cremonese win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.89%) and 0-2 (6.63%). The likeliest Cesena win was 1-0 (10.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.07%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 11% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Cremonese in this match.