Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Reading win with a probability of 40.34%. A win for Cheltenham Town had a probability of 33.94% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Reading win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.68%) and 0-2 (6.76%). The likeliest Cheltenham Town win was 1-0 (8.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.19%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.