Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cremonese win with a probability of 42.77%. A win for Spezia had a probability of 31.69% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cremonese win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.94%) and 2-0 (7.24%). The likeliest Spezia win was 0-1 (8.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.11%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Cremonese would win this match.
Result | ||
Cremonese | Draw | Spezia |
42.77% ( 0.53) | 25.54% ( -0.03) | 31.69% ( -0.5) |
Both teams to score 54.69% ( -0.11) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.89% ( -0.05) | 49.11% ( 0.05) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.82% ( -0.05) | 71.18% ( 0.05) |
Cremonese Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.14% ( 0.23) | 22.86% ( -0.23) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.41% ( 0.34) | 56.59% ( -0.34) |
Spezia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.9% ( -0.36) | 29.1% ( 0.36) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.98% ( -0.45) | 65.02% ( 0.45) |
Score Analysis |
Cremonese | Draw | Spezia |
1-0 @ 9.82% ( 0.09) 2-1 @ 8.94% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 7.24% ( 0.12) 3-1 @ 4.4% ( 0.06) 3-0 @ 3.56% ( 0.08) 3-2 @ 2.72% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.62% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 1.32% ( 0.04) 4-2 @ 1% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.15% Total : 42.77% | 1-1 @ 12.11% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.65% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.52% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.12% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.53% | 0-1 @ 8.21% ( -0.06) 1-2 @ 7.48% ( -0.08) 0-2 @ 5.07% ( -0.09) 1-3 @ 3.08% ( -0.07) 2-3 @ 2.27% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 2.09% ( -0.06) 1-4 @ 0.95% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.54% Total : 31.69% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Inter Milan | 36 | 29 | 5 | 2 | 86 | 19 | 67 | 92 |
2 | AC Milan | 36 | 22 | 8 | 6 | 72 | 43 | 29 | 74 |
3 | Bologna | 36 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 51 | 27 | 24 | 67 |
4 | Juventus | 36 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 49 | 28 | 21 | 67 |
5 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 35 | 19 | 6 | 10 | 65 | 39 | 26 | 63 |
6 | Roma | 36 | 17 | 9 | 10 | 63 | 44 | 19 | 60 |
7 | Lazio | 36 | 18 | 5 | 13 | 47 | 37 | 10 | 59 |
8 | Fiorentina | 35 | 15 | 8 | 12 | 53 | 40 | 13 | 53 |
9 | Napoli | 36 | 13 | 12 | 11 | 53 | 46 | 7 | 51 |
10 | Torino | 36 | 12 | 14 | 10 | 33 | 32 | 1 | 50 |
11 | Genoa | 36 | 11 | 13 | 12 | 43 | 44 | -1 | 46 |
12 | Monza | 36 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 39 | 48 | -9 | 45 |
13 | Lecce | 36 | 8 | 13 | 15 | 32 | 52 | -20 | 37 |
14 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 36 | 8 | 10 | 18 | 34 | 48 | -14 | 34 |
15 | Udinese | 36 | 5 | 18 | 13 | 35 | 52 | -17 | 33 |
16 | CagliariCagliari | 36 | 7 | 12 | 17 | 38 | 65 | -27 | 33 |
17 | FrosinoneFrosinone | 36 | 7 | 11 | 18 | 43 | 68 | -25 | 32 |
18 | Empoli | 36 | 8 | 8 | 20 | 26 | 52 | -26 | 32 |
19 | SassuoloSassuolo | 36 | 7 | 8 | 21 | 42 | 72 | -30 | 29 |
R | Salernitana | 36 | 2 | 10 | 24 | 28 | 76 | -48 | 16 |
> Serie A Full Table |