MX23RW : Sunday, January 19 02:27:22| >> :300:86500:86500:
Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Estrela Amadora
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 19
Jan 29, 2024 at 6.45pm UK
Estadio Jose Gomes da Costa
Benfica

Estrela Amadora
1 - 4
Benfica

Jaba (28')
N'do (45+2')
N'do (71')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Cabral (44'), Silva (45+1'), Otamendi (52'), Leonardo (90+3')
di Maria (41')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Primeira Liga clash between Estrela Amadora and Benfica, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Guimaraes 3-0 Estrela Amadora
Sunday, January 21 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Benfica 1-1 Estoril (4-5 pen.)
Wednesday, January 24 at 7.45pm in Taca da Liga

We said: Estrela Amadora 0-2 Benfica

Benfica will be eager to put their midweek cup disappointment behind them with a positive result here and will see this as a good opportunity to place some pressure on Sporting, who take on Casa Pia later in the day. Estrela have failed to win any of their last five league games, and we feel they will see their winless record extended in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 73.72%. A draw had a probability of 16.6% and a win for Estrela Amadora had a probability of 9.65%.

The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (11.1%) and 0-3 (10.07%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.91%), while for a Estrela Amadora win it was 1-0 (3.39%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Benfica would win this match.

Result
Estrela AmadoraDrawBenfica
9.65% (-0.011000000000001 -0.01) 16.63% (0.152 0.15) 73.72% (-0.14100000000001 -0.14)
Both teams to score 45.99% (-0.60299999999999 -0.6)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.67% (-0.765 -0.77)41.33% (0.766 0.77)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.27% (-0.78299999999999 -0.78)63.73% (0.782 0.78)
Estrela Amadora Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
50.94% (-0.53599999999999 -0.54)49.06% (0.537 0.54)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
16% (-0.384 -0.38)83.99% (0.384 0.38)
Benfica Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.29% (-0.23100000000001 -0.23)9.71% (0.2299 0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
67.65% (-0.54000000000001 -0.54)32.35% (0.54 0.54)
Score Analysis
    Estrela Amadora 9.65%
    Benfica 73.71%
    Draw 16.63%
Estrela AmadoraDrawBenfica
1-0 @ 3.39% (0.066 0.07)
2-1 @ 2.82% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-0 @ 1.21% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 2.23%
Total : 9.65%
1-1 @ 7.91% (0.074 0.07)
0-0 @ 4.76% (0.163 0.16)
2-2 @ 3.28% (-0.054 -0.05)
Other @ 0.67%
Total : 16.63%
0-2 @ 12.95% (0.19 0.19)
0-1 @ 11.1% (0.27 0.27)
0-3 @ 10.07% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
1-2 @ 9.22% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
1-3 @ 7.17% (-0.08 -0.08)
0-4 @ 5.87% (-0.034999999999999 -0.03)
1-4 @ 4.18% (-0.09 -0.09)
0-5 @ 2.74% (-0.044 -0.04)
2-3 @ 2.55% (-0.069 -0.07)
1-5 @ 1.95% (-0.063 -0.06)
2-4 @ 1.49% (-0.055 -0.05)
0-6 @ 1.07% (-0.028 -0.03)
Other @ 3.35%
Total : 73.71%

How you voted: Estrela Amadora vs Benfica

Estrela Amadora
8.5%
Draw
6.8%
Benfica
84.7%
59
Head to Head
Aug 19, 2023 8.30pm
Gameweek 2
Benfica
2-0
Estrela Amadora
Tengstedt (79'), Silva (90+3')
Neves (37'), Mario (44'), Cabral (50')

Omorwa (11'), Mansur (55'), Ciriaco Santos (90+6')
Nov 20, 2022 7pm
Group Stage
Estrela Amadora
2-3
Benfica
Silva (22'), Rodrigues (90+5')
Musa (13'), Chiquinho (29' pen.), Draxler (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon18142251143744
2Benfica18132342113141
3Porto17131340112940
4Braga1794430191131
5Santa ClaraSanta Clara1810172019131
6Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes186842824426
7Casa Pia176651920-124
8MoreirenseMoreirense176472225-322
9Estoril PraiaEstoril185672130-921
10FamalicaoFamalicao184862024-420
11Rio AveRio Ave185581831-1320
12Gil Vicente174761926-719
13Nacional174491323-1016
14Estrela Amadora174491629-1316
15AroucaArouca1844101530-1516
16AVS172961324-1115
17SC FarenseFarense173591123-1214
18BoavistaBoavista172691126-1512


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!