Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 51.82%. A win for Famalicao had a probability of 24.47% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.7%) and 0-2 (8.69%). The likeliest Famalicao win was 1-0 (6.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.19%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Famalicao | Draw | Benfica |
24.47% ( 0.21) | 23.72% ( 0.25) | 51.82% ( -0.46) |
Both teams to score 55.37% ( -0.59) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.23% ( -0.89) | 45.77% ( 0.89) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.92% ( -0.85) | 68.09% ( 0.85) |
Famalicao Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.25% ( -0.3) | 32.75% ( 0.31) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.69% ( -0.34) | 69.31% ( 0.34) |
Benfica Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.33% ( -0.5) | 17.67% ( 0.5) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.71% ( -0.88) | 48.29% ( 0.88) |
Score Analysis |
Famalicao | Draw | Benfica |
1-0 @ 6.46% ( 0.19) 2-1 @ 6.25% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 3.61% ( 0.08) 3-1 @ 2.33% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.02% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 1.34% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.47% Total : 24.47% | 1-1 @ 11.19% ( 0.15) 0-0 @ 5.79% ( 0.22) 2-2 @ 5.42% ( -0.06) 3-3 @ 1.17% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.15% Total : 23.71% | 0-1 @ 10.02% ( 0.21) 1-2 @ 9.7% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 8.69% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 5.61% ( -0.11) 0-3 @ 5.02% ( -0.06) 2-3 @ 3.13% ( -0.09) 1-4 @ 2.43% ( -0.09) 0-4 @ 2.18% ( -0.06) 2-4 @ 1.36% ( -0.06) Other @ 3.67% Total : 51.81% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 11 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 39 | 5 | 34 | 33 |
2 | Porto | 11 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 28 | 8 | 20 | 27 |
3 | Benfica | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 28 | 7 | 21 | 25 |
4 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 11 | 7 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 12 | 2 | 21 |
5 | Braga | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 20 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 11 | 1 | 18 |
7 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 17 |
8 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 17 |
9 | Casa Pia | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 14 | -4 | 13 |
10 | Rio AveRio Ave | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 20 | -10 | 12 |
11 | Gil Vicente | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 10 |
12 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 16 | -8 | 10 |
13 | AVS | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 19 | -10 | 10 |
14 | BoavistaBoavista | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 15 | -8 | 9 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 10 | 20 | -10 | 9 |
16 | Nacional | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 15 | -9 | 8 |
17 | AroucaArouca | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 19 | -13 | 8 |
18 | SC FarenseFarense | 11 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 18 | -13 | 5 |
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