Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 51.82%. A win for Famalicao had a probability of 24.47% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.7%) and 0-2 (8.69%). The likeliest Famalicao win was 1-0 (6.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.19%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Famalicao | Draw | Benfica |
24.47% ( 0.21) | 23.72% ( 0.25) | 51.82% ( -0.46) |
Both teams to score 55.37% ( -0.59) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.23% ( -0.89) | 45.77% ( 0.89) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.92% ( -0.85) | 68.09% ( 0.85) |
Famalicao Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.25% ( -0.3) | 32.75% ( 0.31) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.69% ( -0.34) | 69.31% ( 0.34) |
Benfica Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.33% ( -0.5) | 17.67% ( 0.5) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.71% ( -0.88) | 48.29% ( 0.88) |
Score Analysis |
Famalicao | Draw | Benfica |
1-0 @ 6.46% ( 0.19) 2-1 @ 6.25% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 3.61% ( 0.08) 3-1 @ 2.33% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.02% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 1.34% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.47% Total : 24.47% | 1-1 @ 11.19% ( 0.15) 0-0 @ 5.79% ( 0.22) 2-2 @ 5.42% ( -0.06) 3-3 @ 1.17% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.15% Total : 23.71% | 0-1 @ 10.02% ( 0.21) 1-2 @ 9.7% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 8.69% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 5.61% ( -0.11) 0-3 @ 5.02% ( -0.06) 2-3 @ 3.13% ( -0.09) 1-4 @ 2.43% ( -0.09) 0-4 @ 2.18% ( -0.06) 2-4 @ 1.36% ( -0.06) Other @ 3.67% Total : 51.81% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 17 | 13 | 2 | 2 | 48 | 14 | 34 | 41 |
2 | Porto | 16 | 13 | 1 | 2 | 40 | 9 | 31 | 40 |
3 | Benfica | 17 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 38 | 11 | 27 | 38 |
4 | Braga | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 30 | 19 | 11 | 31 |
5 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 17 | 10 | 1 | 6 | 18 | 16 | 2 | 31 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 26 | 22 | 4 | 25 |
7 | Casa Pia | 17 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 24 |
8 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 22 | 25 | -3 | 22 |
9 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 17 | 4 | 8 | 5 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 20 |
10 | Rio AveRio Ave | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 27 | -10 | 19 |
11 | Gil Vicente | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 18 |
12 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 18 | 28 | -10 | 18 |
13 | Estrela Amadora | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 16 | 29 | -13 | 16 |
14 | AVS | 17 | 2 | 9 | 6 | 13 | 24 | -11 | 15 |
15 | AroucaArouca | 17 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 13 | 28 | -15 | 15 |
16 | SC FarenseFarense | 17 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 11 | 23 | -12 | 14 |
17 | Nacional | 16 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 11 | 23 | -12 | 13 |
18 | BoavistaBoavista | 17 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 26 | -15 | 12 |
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