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AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Groningen
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NAC Breda
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Willem II
FC Twente logo
Eredivisie | Gameweek 17
Jan 13, 2024 at 5.45pm UK
De Grolsch Veste
AZ Alkmaar

FC Twente
2 - 1
AZ

Ugalde (42', 70')
Eiting (66'), Taha (86'), Propper (90+2')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Odgaard (4')
Martins Indi (65'), Bazoer (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Eredivisie clash between FC Twente and AZ Alkmaar, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sparta 2-2 FC Twente
Sunday, December 17 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Dortmund 2-2 AZ
Saturday, January 6 at 2pm in Club Friendlies 1

We said: FC Twente 2-2 AZ Alkmaar

Goals have been a real feature of this fixture, and we are anticipating another entertaining affair here. That said, we are backing the sides to cancel each other and settle for a point apiece in the end. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Twente win with a probability of 46.3%. A win for AZ Alkmaar had a probability of 29.91% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Twente win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.33%) and 2-0 (7.06%). The likeliest AZ Alkmaar win was 1-2 (7.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.98%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for FC Twente in this match.

Result
FC TwenteDrawAZ Alkmaar
46.3% (-0.42 -0.42) 23.79% (0.296 0.3) 29.91% (0.119 0.12)
Both teams to score 59.77% (-0.985 -0.98)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.94% (-1.327 -1.33)42.06% (1.323 1.32)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.53% (-1.345 -1.35)64.46% (1.342 1.34)
FC Twente Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.61% (-0.688 -0.69)18.38% (0.683 0.68)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.47% (-1.173 -1.17)49.52% (1.17 1.17)
AZ Alkmaar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.23% (-0.587 -0.59)26.76% (0.583 0.58)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.96% (-0.778 -0.78)62.04% (0.77399999999999 0.77)
Score Analysis
    FC Twente 46.3%
    AZ Alkmaar 29.91%
    Draw 23.78%
FC TwenteDrawAZ Alkmaar
2-1 @ 9.3% (-0.0080000000000009 -0.01)
1-0 @ 8.33% (0.309 0.31)
2-0 @ 7.06% (0.11 0.11)
3-1 @ 5.25% (-0.123 -0.12)
3-0 @ 3.98% (-0.026 -0.03)
3-2 @ 3.46% (-0.14 -0.14)
4-1 @ 2.22% (-0.103 -0.1)
4-0 @ 1.69% (-0.049 -0.05)
4-2 @ 1.47% (-0.094 -0.09)
Other @ 3.54%
Total : 46.3%
1-1 @ 10.98% (0.23 0.23)
2-2 @ 6.13% (-0.108 -0.11)
0-0 @ 4.92% (0.286 0.29)
3-3 @ 1.52% (-0.088 -0.09)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 23.78%
1-2 @ 7.24% (0.034 0.03)
0-1 @ 6.49% (0.275 0.27)
0-2 @ 4.28% (0.113 0.11)
1-3 @ 3.18% (-0.038 -0.04)
2-3 @ 2.69% (-0.093 -0.09)
0-3 @ 1.88% (0.019 0.02)
1-4 @ 1.05% (-0.031 -0.03)
Other @ 3.1%
Total : 29.91%

How you voted: FC Twente vs AZ

FC Twente
52.9%
Draw
11.8%
AZ Alkmaar
35.3%
17
Head to Head
Mar 19, 2023 7pm
Gameweek 26
FC Twente
2-1
AZ
Ugalde (8', 11')
Karlsson (66')
Sep 11, 2022 3.45pm
Gameweek 6
AZ
1-1
FC Twente
Odgaard (54')
Ugalde (81')
Mar 13, 2022 7pm
Gameweek 23
AZ
0-1
FC Twente
Brenet (62')
Sadilek (38'), Propper (79')
Sep 23, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 6
FC Twente
3-1
AZ
Van Wolfswinkel (1'), Rots (17'), Limnios (90+1')
Propper (57')
Karlsson (44')
Martins Indi (39'), de Wit (51'), Gudmundsson (84'), Hatzidiakos (90')
Mar 13, 2021 7pm
Gameweek 26
AZ
4-1
FC Twente
Boadu (4'), Dumic (22' og.), Drommel (34' og.), Koopmeiners (78')
Martins Indi (43')
Gudmundsson (40' og.)
Dumic (36'), Zerrouki (57')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PSV EindhovenPSV1211014093133
2FC UtrechtUtrecht119112011928
3Ajax1182125111426
4Feyenoord1274128131525
5FC Twente1264224111322
6AZ AlkmaarAZ125252314917
7Fortuna SittardSittard125251316-317
8NECNijmegen125161910916
9Willem II124351312115
10Go Ahead Eagles124351520-515
11NAC BredaNAC Breda125071221-915
12Heerenveen124261323-1014
13Groningen123361219-712
14PEC Zwolle123361422-812
15Heracles123361223-1112
16Sparta RotterdamSparta122551218-611
17Almere CityAlmere City12138627-216
18RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk1211101031-214


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