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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Feyenoord win with a probability of 41.13%. A win for PSV Eindhoven had a probability of 34.89% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Feyenoord win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.53%) and 2-0 (6.02%). The likeliest PSV Eindhoven win was 1-2 (7.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.96%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that PSV Eindhoven would win this match.
Result | ||
Feyenoord | Draw | PSV Eindhoven |
41.13% ( 0.47) | 23.98% ( 0.52) | 34.89% ( -0.99) |
Both teams to score 61.2% ( -2.16) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.92% ( -2.74) | 41.08% ( 2.74) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.52% ( -2.85) | 63.47% ( 2.85) |
Feyenoord Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.8% ( -0.94) | 20.2% ( 0.94) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.48% ( -1.54) | 52.51% ( 1.53) |
PSV Eindhoven Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.69% ( -1.78) | 23.31% ( 1.78) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.74% ( -2.66) | 57.25% ( 2.66) |
Score Analysis |
Feyenoord | Draw | PSV Eindhoven |
2-1 @ 8.77% ( 0.13) 1-0 @ 7.53% ( 0.7) 2-0 @ 6.02% ( 0.4) 3-1 @ 4.68% ( -0.07) 3-2 @ 3.41% ( -0.24) 3-0 @ 3.21% ( 0.12) 4-1 @ 1.87% ( -0.08) 4-2 @ 1.36% ( -0.14) 4-0 @ 1.28% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.99% Total : 41.13% | 1-1 @ 10.96% ( 0.48) 2-2 @ 6.39% ( -0.25) 0-0 @ 4.71% ( 0.56) 3-3 @ 1.65% ( -0.21) Other @ 0.26% Total : 23.97% | 1-2 @ 7.99% ( -0.07) 0-1 @ 6.86% ( 0.49) 0-2 @ 4.99% ( 0.1) 1-3 @ 3.88% ( -0.25) 2-3 @ 3.1% ( -0.3) 0-3 @ 2.42% ( -0.08) 1-4 @ 1.41% ( -0.17) 2-4 @ 1.13% ( -0.18) Other @ 3.11% Total : 34.89% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 12 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 40 | 9 | 31 | 33 |
2 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 11 | 9 | 28 |
3 | Ajax | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 25 | 11 | 14 | 26 |
4 | Feyenoord | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 28 | 13 | 15 | 25 |
5 | FC Twente | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 24 | 11 | 13 | 22 |
6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 23 | 14 | 9 | 17 |
7 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 16 | -3 | 17 |
8 | NECNijmegen | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 16 |
9 | Willem II | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 15 |
10 | Go Ahead Eagles | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 15 |
11 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 12 | 5 | 0 | 7 | 12 | 21 | -9 | 15 |
12 | Heerenveen | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 14 |
13 | Groningen | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 19 | -7 | 12 |
14 | PEC Zwolle | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 12 |
15 | Heracles | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 23 | -11 | 12 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 18 | -6 | 11 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 12 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 27 | -21 | 6 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 12 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 10 | 31 | -21 | 4 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |