Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 39.82%. A win for Fiorentina had a probability of 34.66% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.63%) and 0-2 (6.56%). The likeliest Fiorentina win was 1-0 (8.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.08%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Inter Milan in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Inter Milan.
Result | ||
Fiorentina | Draw | Inter Milan |
34.66% ( -0.25) | 25.53% ( -0.07) | 39.82% ( 0.32) |
Both teams to score 55.65% ( 0.2) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.74% ( 0.28) | 48.26% ( -0.27) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.59% ( 0.26) | 70.41% ( -0.25) |
Fiorentina Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.18% ( -0.01) | 26.82% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.89% ( -0.02) | 62.11% ( 0.03) |
Inter Milan Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.04% ( 0.3) | 23.96% ( -0.29) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.81% ( 0.42) | 58.19% ( -0.41) |
Score Analysis |
Fiorentina | Draw | Inter Milan |
1-0 @ 8.46% ( -0.1) 2-1 @ 7.95% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 5.57% ( -0.07) 3-1 @ 3.49% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.49% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 2.44% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 1.15% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.12% Total : 34.66% | 1-1 @ 12.08% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 6.42% ( -0.07) 2-2 @ 5.68% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 1.19% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.52% | 0-1 @ 9.18% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 8.63% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 6.56% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 4.11% ( 0.06) 0-3 @ 3.12% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 2.71% ( 0.04) 1-4 @ 1.47% ( 0.03) 0-4 @ 1.12% ( 0.03) 2-4 @ 0.97% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.95% Total : 39.82% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Napoli | 17 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 26 | 12 | 14 | 38 |
2 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 16 | 12 | 1 | 3 | 39 | 17 | 22 | 37 |
3 | Inter Milan | 15 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 40 | 15 | 25 | 34 |
4 | Fiorentina | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 28 | 11 | 17 | 31 |
5 | Lazio | 16 | 10 | 1 | 5 | 30 | 23 | 7 | 31 |
6 | Juventus | 16 | 6 | 10 | 0 | 26 | 12 | 14 | 28 |
7 | Bologna | 16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 23 | 18 | 5 | 28 |
8 | AC Milan | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 25 | 16 | 9 | 26 |
9 | Udinese | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 20 |
10 | Empoli | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 19 |
11 | Torino | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 17 | 22 | -5 | 19 |
12 | Roma | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 18 | 23 | -5 | 16 |
13 | Genoa | 17 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 16 |
14 | Lecce | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 10 | 27 | -17 | 16 |
15 | Parma | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 15 |
16 | Como | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 18 | 28 | -10 | 15 |
17 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 17 | 5 | 0 | 12 | 21 | 40 | -19 | 15 |
18 | CagliariCagliari | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 26 | -11 | 14 |
19 | Monza | 16 | 1 | 7 | 8 | 14 | 21 | -7 | 10 |
20 | VeneziaVenezia | 16 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 15 | 29 | -14 | 10 |
> Serie A Full Table |