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Serie A | Gameweek 22
Jan 28, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Artemio Franchi
Inter logo

Fiorentina
0 - 1
Inter Milan


Ikone (45+2'), Mandragora (90+1')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Martinez (14')
Bastoni (42'), Sommer (75'), Pavard (82')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Fiorentina and Inter Milan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Napoli 3-0 Fiorentina
Thursday, January 18 at 7pm in Supercoppa Italiana
Last Game: Napoli 0-1 Inter Milan
Monday, January 22 at 7pm in Supercoppa Italiana

We said: Fiorentina 1-2 Inter Milan

Fiorentina's build-up play can be impressive, but too often they stumble in and around the opposition area. As Inter are a ruthless winning machine, the Nerazzurri can take advantage of any slip-ups by their hosts and post a fifth win on the spin. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 39.82%. A win for Fiorentina had a probability of 34.66% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.63%) and 0-2 (6.56%). The likeliest Fiorentina win was 1-0 (8.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.08%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Inter Milan in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Inter Milan.

Result
FiorentinaDrawInter Milan
34.66% (-0.249 -0.25) 25.53% (-0.069000000000003 -0.07) 39.82% (0.325 0.32)
Both teams to score 55.65% (0.203 0.2)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.74% (0.281 0.28)48.26% (-0.275 -0.27)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.59% (0.258 0.26)70.41% (-0.251 -0.25)
Fiorentina Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.18% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)26.82% (0.019000000000002 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.89% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)62.11% (0.026000000000003 0.03)
Inter Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.04% (0.295 0.3)23.96% (-0.289 -0.29)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.81% (0.41999999999999 0.42)58.19% (-0.413 -0.41)
Score Analysis
    Fiorentina 34.66%
    Inter Milan 39.82%
    Draw 25.52%
FiorentinaDrawInter Milan
1-0 @ 8.46% (-0.101 -0.1)
2-1 @ 7.95% (-0.031000000000001 -0.03)
2-0 @ 5.57% (-0.069 -0.07)
3-1 @ 3.49% (-0.015 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.49% (0.011 0.01)
3-0 @ 2.44% (-0.032 -0.03)
4-1 @ 1.15% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 3.12%
Total : 34.66%
1-1 @ 12.08% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
0-0 @ 6.42% (-0.073 -0.07)
2-2 @ 5.68% (0.026 0.03)
3-3 @ 1.19% (0.015 0.02)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.52%
0-1 @ 9.18% (-0.026999999999999 -0.03)
1-2 @ 8.63% (0.042999999999999 0.04)
0-2 @ 6.56% (0.036 0.04)
1-3 @ 4.11% (0.056 0.06)
0-3 @ 3.12% (0.044 0.04)
2-3 @ 2.71% (0.035 0.04)
1-4 @ 1.47% (0.032 0.03)
0-4 @ 1.12% (0.025 0.03)
2-4 @ 0.97% (0.021 0.02)
Other @ 1.95%
Total : 39.82%

How you voted: Fiorentina vs Inter Milan

Fiorentina
16.9%
Draw
7.7%
Inter Milan
75.4%
142
Head to Head
Sep 3, 2023 5.30pm
Gameweek 3
Inter Milan
4-0
Fiorentina
Thuram (23'), Martinez (53', 73'), Calhanoglu (58' pen.)
Barella (45+6')

Ranieri (39'), Italiano (60+60')
May 24, 2023 8pm
Final
Fiorentina
1-2
Inter Milan
Gonzalez (3')
Martinez (54'), Gonzalez (90')
Martinez (29', 37')
Bastoni (53')
Apr 1, 2023 5pm
Oct 22, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 11
Fiorentina
3-4
Inter Milan
Cabral (33' pen.), Ikone (60'), Jovic (90')
Barella (2'), Martinez (15', 73'), Mkhitaryan (90+5')
Mar 19, 2022 5pm
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli17122326121438
2Atalanta BCAtalanta16121339172237
3Inter Milan15104140152534
4Fiorentina1594228111731
5Lazio1610153023731
6Juventus16610026121428
7Bologna167722318528
8AC Milan167542516926
9Udinese166281925-620
10Empoli164751416-219
11Torino175481722-519
12Roma164481823-516
13Genoa173771426-1216
14Lecce164481027-1716
15Parma163672328-515
16Como163671828-1015
17Hellas VeronaHellas Verona1750122140-1915
18CagliariCagliari163581526-1114
19Monza161781421-710
20VeneziaVenezia1624101529-1410


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