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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crawley Town win with a probability of 42.92%. A win for Harrogate Town had a probability of 32.63% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crawley Town win was 1-2 with a probability of 9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.45%) and 0-2 (6.68%). The likeliest Harrogate Town win was 2-1 (7.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.39%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Crawley Town in this match.
Result | ||
Harrogate Town | Draw | Crawley Town |
32.63% ( -0.15) | 24.45% ( -0.03) | 42.92% ( 0.19) |
Both teams to score 58.8% ( 0.07) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.08% ( 0.12) | 43.92% ( -0.11) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.7% ( 0.12) | 66.31% ( -0.11) |
Harrogate Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.04% ( -0.03) | 25.96% ( 0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.04% ( -0.05) | 60.97% ( 0.05) |
Crawley Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.42% ( 0.13) | 20.59% ( -0.13) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.88% ( 0.21) | 53.12% ( -0.21) |
Score Analysis |
Harrogate Town | Draw | Crawley Town |
2-1 @ 7.68% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 7.21% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 4.86% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 3.45% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.73% 3-0 @ 2.19% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.16% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 0.92% ( -0) Other @ 2.43% Total : 32.63% | 1-1 @ 11.39% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 6.07% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 5.34% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 1.44% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.45% | 1-2 @ 9% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 8.45% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 6.68% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 4.74% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 3.52% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 3.2% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 1.87% ( 0.02) 0-4 @ 1.39% ( 0.02) 2-4 @ 1.26% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.81% Total : 42.92% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Walsall | 18 | 11 | 4 | 3 | 34 | 19 | 15 | 37 |
2 | Port Vale | 19 | 10 | 5 | 4 | 26 | 19 | 7 | 35 |
3 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 19 | 9 | 6 | 4 | 28 | 22 | 6 | 33 |
4 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 18 | 8 | 7 | 3 | 22 | 16 | 6 | 31 |
5 | Grimsby Town | 19 | 10 | 1 | 8 | 27 | 28 | -1 | 31 |
6 | AFC Wimbledon | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 30 | 16 | 14 | 30 |
7 | MK Dons | 17 | 9 | 3 | 5 | 30 | 19 | 11 | 30 |
8 | Chesterfield | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 33 | 23 | 10 | 28 |
9 | Notts County | 18 | 7 | 7 | 4 | 25 | 18 | 7 | 28 |
10 | Gillingham | 18 | 8 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 16 | 3 | 26 |
11 | Bradford CityBradford | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 23 | 19 | 4 | 25 |
12 | Salford City | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 17 | 19 | -2 | 24 |
13 | BarrowBarrow | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 18 | 17 | 1 | 23 |
14 | Bromley | 18 | 5 | 8 | 5 | 23 | 23 | 0 | 23 |
15 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 25 | 28 | -3 | 23 |
16 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 17 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 22 |
17 | Newport CountyNewport | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 21 | 28 | -7 | 22 |
18 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 18 | 4 | 9 | 5 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 21 |
19 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 19 | 6 | 3 | 10 | 16 | 28 | -12 | 21 |
20 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 25 | 33 | -8 | 18 |
21 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 12 | 25 | -13 | 18 |
22 | Swindon TownSwindon | 19 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 23 | 33 | -10 | 16 |
23 | Morecambe | 19 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 19 | 34 | -15 | 14 |
24 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 18 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 15 | 30 | -15 | 14 |
> League Two Full Table |