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Serie A | Gameweek 31
Apr 7, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Allianz Stadium
Fiorentina logo

Juventus
1 - 0
Fiorentina

Gatti (21')
Cambiaso (69'), Yildiz (86')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Beltran (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Juventus and Fiorentina, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Juventus 2-0 Lazio
Tuesday, April 2 at 8pm in Coppa Italia
Last Game: Fiorentina 1-0 Atalanta
Wednesday, April 3 at 8pm in Coppa Italia

We said: Juventus 1-0 Fiorentina

Both teams are desperate to stop the rot in Serie A, so a gritty contest is set to take place in Turin. As Juventus boast the better attacking options - mostly former Fiorentina players - they can snatch all three points with a single goal. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juventus win with a probability of 42.24%. A win for Fiorentina had a probability of 30.44% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Juventus win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.57%) and 2-0 (7.91%). The likeliest Fiorentina win was 0-1 (9.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Juventus in this match.

Result
JuventusDrawFiorentina
42.24% (-0.34200000000001 -0.34) 27.32% (0.109 0.11) 30.44% (0.236 0.24)
Both teams to score 48.64% (-0.21299999999999 -0.21)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.35% (-0.322 -0.32)56.65% (0.323 0.32)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.38% (-0.259 -0.26)77.62% (0.26000000000001 0.26)
Juventus Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.51% (-0.327 -0.33)26.49% (0.329 0.33)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.32% (-0.438 -0.44)61.68% (0.44 0.44)
Fiorentina Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.17% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)33.83% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.51% (0.004999999999999 0)70.49% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Score Analysis
    Juventus 42.24%
    Fiorentina 30.44%
    Draw 27.32%
JuventusDrawFiorentina
1-0 @ 11.9% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
2-1 @ 8.57% (-0.052999999999999 -0.05)
2-0 @ 7.91% (-0.051 -0.05)
3-1 @ 3.79% (-0.06 -0.06)
3-0 @ 3.5% (-0.056 -0.06)
3-2 @ 2.06% (-0.033 -0.03)
4-1 @ 1.26% (-0.032 -0.03)
4-0 @ 1.16% (-0.029 -0.03)
Other @ 2.09%
Total : 42.24%
1-1 @ 12.9% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
0-0 @ 8.96% (0.111 0.11)
2-2 @ 4.64% (-0.029 -0.03)
Other @ 0.81%
Total : 27.32%
0-1 @ 9.71% (0.121 0.12)
1-2 @ 6.99% (0.022 0.02)
0-2 @ 5.26% (0.066 0.07)
1-3 @ 2.53% (0.008 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.9% (0.024 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.68% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 2.36%
Total : 30.44%

How you voted: Juventus vs Fiorentina

Juventus
68.5%
Draw
22.8%
Fiorentina
8.7%
92
Head to Head
Nov 5, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 11
Fiorentina
0-1
Juventus

Ranieri (83')
Miretti (10')
Rabiot (43'), Kean (48'), Gatti (58')
Feb 12, 2023 5pm
Sep 3, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 5
Fiorentina
1-1
Juventus
Kouame (29')
Amrabat (15')
Milik (9')
Sandro (33'), Locatelli (52'), Danilo (53')
May 21, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 38
Fiorentina
2-0
Juventus
Duncan (45+1'), Gonzalez (90+2' pen.)
Julio (44'), Venuti (56'), Amrabat (70')

Kean (44'), Rabiot (56'), de Ligt (84')
Apr 20, 2022 8pm
Semi-Finals 1st Leg
Juventus
2-0
Fiorentina
Bernardeschi (32'), Danilo (90+4')
De Sciglio (45+2')

Martinez (72')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
FT
Browns
32-41
Broncos
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli1410222191232
2Atalanta BCAtalanta14101336162031
3Inter Milan1384131141728
4Fiorentina1384127101728
5Lazio1491429171228
6Juventus146802281426
7AC Milan136432314922
8Bologna135621816221
9Udinese145271621-517
10Empoli143741014-416
11Parma143652022-215
12Torino144371620-415
13CagliariCagliari143561524-914
14Genoa143561324-1114
15Roma143471420-613
16Lecce14347722-1513
17Hellas VeronaHellas Verona1440101733-1612
18Como142571426-1211
19Monza141761217-510
20VeneziaVenezia1422101125-148


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