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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 52.52%. A win for Coventry City had a probability of 23.99% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.74%) and 2-0 (8.76%). The likeliest Coventry City win was 0-1 (6.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.07%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-0 win for Leeds United in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Leeds United.
Result | ||
Leeds United | Draw | Coventry City |
52.52% ( 0.71) | 23.49% ( -0.06) | 23.99% ( -0.65) |
Both teams to score 55.57% ( -0.52) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.75% ( -0.35) | 45.25% ( 0.35) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.41% ( -0.33) | 67.59% ( 0.33) |
Leeds United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.78% ( 0.14) | 17.21% ( -0.14) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.5% ( 0.24) | 47.5% ( -0.24) |
Coventry City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.12% ( -0.74) | 32.88% ( 0.74) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.55% ( -0.83) | 69.45% ( 0.83) |
Score Analysis |
Leeds United | Draw | Coventry City |
1-0 @ 9.96% ( 0.19) 2-1 @ 9.74% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 8.76% ( 0.21) 3-1 @ 5.72% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 5.14% ( 0.14) 3-2 @ 3.18% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 2.51% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 2.26% ( 0.07) 4-2 @ 1.4% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.86% Total : 52.52% | 1-1 @ 11.07% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.66% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 5.42% ( -0.09) 3-3 @ 1.18% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.16% Total : 23.48% | 0-1 @ 6.3% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 6.16% ( -0.13) 0-2 @ 3.5% ( -0.09) 1-3 @ 2.29% ( -0.09) 2-3 @ 2.01% ( -0.08) 0-3 @ 1.3% ( -0.06) Other @ 2.43% Total : 23.99% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 20 | 13 | 5 | 2 | 28 | 11 | 17 | 42 |
2 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 20 | 12 | 5 | 3 | 36 | 14 | 22 | 41 |
3 | Burnley | 20 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 24 | 7 | 17 | 38 |
4 | Sunderland | 20 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 29 | 15 | 14 | 37 |
5 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 19 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 23 | 17 | 6 | 34 |
6 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 20 | 7 | 11 | 2 | 23 | 14 | 9 | 32 |
7 | Middlesbrough | 20 | 9 | 4 | 7 | 34 | 25 | 9 | 31 |
8 | Watford | 19 | 9 | 4 | 6 | 27 | 25 | 2 | 31 |
9 | Swansea CitySwansea | 20 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 19 | 2 | 27 |
10 | Norwich CityNorwich | 20 | 6 | 8 | 6 | 35 | 30 | 5 | 26 |
11 | Bristol City | 20 | 6 | 8 | 6 | 25 | 25 | 0 | 26 |
12 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 23 | 29 | -6 | 26 |
13 | Millwall | 19 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 20 | 17 | 3 | 25 |
14 | Preston North EndPreston | 20 | 4 | 10 | 6 | 20 | 26 | -6 | 22 |
15 | Luton TownLuton | 20 | 6 | 4 | 10 | 23 | 35 | -12 | 22 |
16 | Coventry CityCoventry | 20 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 25 | 29 | -4 | 21 |
17 | Derby CountyDerby | 20 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 22 | 26 | -4 | 21 |
18 | Stoke CityStoke | 20 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 21 | 26 | -5 | 21 |
19 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 20 | 4 | 9 | 7 | 20 | 26 | -6 | 21 |
20 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 19 | 4 | 6 | 9 | 20 | 30 | -10 | 18 |
21 | Portsmouth | 18 | 3 | 8 | 7 | 21 | 30 | -9 | 17 |
22 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 19 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 17 | 30 | -13 | 17 |
23 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 19 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 19 | 40 | -21 | 17 |
24 | Hull City | 20 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 18 | 28 | -10 | 16 |
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