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Championship | Gameweek 17
Nov 27, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Elland Road
Luton Town

Leeds
3 - 0
Luton

Byram (10'), Piroe (45+1'), James (81')
Clark (90'), Ramazani (90')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Hashioka (50'), Rodon (68')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Championship clash between Leeds United and Luton Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Swansea 3-4 Leeds
Sunday, November 24 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Luton 1-0 Hull City
Saturday, November 23 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Leeds United 1-0 Luton Town

Luton Town will certainly be boosted by the weekend's victory and have more quality than their current standing suggests, but they face one of the division's toughest tests on Wednesday. Leeds United have won each of their last five home games, only conceding once along the way, and we back them to come out on top at Elland Road once again. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 76.43%. A draw had a probability of 15.1% and a win for Luton Town had a probability of 8.49%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.51%) and 1-0 (10.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.17%), while for a Luton Town win it was 0-1 (2.87%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Leeds United would win this match.

Result
Leeds UnitedDrawLuton Town
76.43% (1.28 1.28) 15.08% (-0.448 -0.45) 8.49% (-0.828 -0.83)
Both teams to score 46.64% (-2.085 -2.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.2% (-0.73099999999999 -0.73)37.8% (0.736 0.74)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.95% (-0.789 -0.79)60.05% (0.79199999999999 0.79)
Leeds United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.79% (0.113 0.11)8.22% (-0.107 -0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
71.26% (0.271 0.27)28.74% (-0.266 -0.27)
Luton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
50.82% (-2.332 -2.33)49.19% (2.337 2.34)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
15.92% (-1.712 -1.71)84.09% (1.717 1.72)
Score Analysis
    Leeds United 76.42%
    Luton Town 8.49%
    Draw 15.08%
Leeds UnitedDrawLuton Town
2-0 @ 12.61% (0.56 0.56)
3-0 @ 10.51% (0.523 0.52)
1-0 @ 10.09% (0.397 0.4)
2-1 @ 8.95% (-0.183 -0.18)
3-1 @ 7.46% (-0.112 -0.11)
4-0 @ 6.57% (0.361 0.36)
4-1 @ 4.66% (-0.046 -0.05)
5-0 @ 3.28% (0.197 0.2)
3-2 @ 2.65% (-0.224 -0.22)
5-1 @ 2.33% (-0.011 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.65% (-0.13 -0.13)
6-0 @ 1.37% (0.089 0.09)
6-1 @ 0.97% (0.001 0)
Other @ 3.31%
Total : 76.42%
1-1 @ 7.17% (-0.184 -0.18)
0-0 @ 4.04% (0.141 0.14)
2-2 @ 3.18% (-0.287 -0.29)
Other @ 0.7%
Total : 15.08%
0-1 @ 2.87% (-0.089 -0.09)
1-2 @ 2.54% (-0.244 -0.24)
0-2 @ 1.02% (-0.104 -0.1)
Other @ 2.06%
Total : 8.49%

How you voted: Leeds vs Luton

Leeds United
87.3%
Draw
6.9%
Luton Town
5.9%
102
Head to Head
Jun 30, 2020 7.45pm
Gameweek 40
Leeds
1-1
Luton
Nov 23, 2019 3pm
Luton
1-2
Leeds
Collins (54')
Bamford (51'), Pearson (90' og.)
Ayling (53')
Aug 23, 2016 7.45pm
Round Two
Luton
0-1
Leeds

Lee (53')
Denton (23')
Grimes (1'), Coyle (62')
Jan 26, 2008 3pm
Sep 1, 2007 3pm
Leeds
1-0
Luton
Kandol (44')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds27168351193256
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd27176438172155
3Burnley27141123192253
4Sunderland27149439221751
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2712693124742
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom27914433221141
7Middlesbrough27118844341041
8Watford27125103837141
9Bristol City2791083331237
10Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds27107103843-537
11Norwich CityNorwich279994339436
12Queens Park RangersQPR2781183034-435
13Swansea CitySwansea2797113033-334
14Coventry CityCoventry2788113537-232
15Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2788113041-1132
16Preston North EndPreston2761382834-631
17Millwall2679102424030
18Stoke CityStoke27610112533-828
19Derby CountyDerby2776143137-627
20Cardiff CityCardiff2769122941-1227
21Hull City2768132636-1026
22Portsmouth2668123245-1326
23Luton TownLuton2775152744-1726
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2749142555-3021


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