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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Leeds United win with a probability of 74.53%. A draw has a probability of 15.5% and a win for Luton Town has a probability of 9.92%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win is 2-0 with a probability of 11.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 3-0 (9.51%) and 2-1 (9.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (7.28%), while for a Luton Town win it is 1-2 (2.97%).
Result | ||
Leeds United | Draw | Luton Town |
74.53% ( 1.45) | 15.55% ( -0.73) | 9.92% ( -0.72) |
Both teams to score 51.31% ( -0.04) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
64.92% ( 1.35) | 35.08% ( -1.35) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
42.92% ( 1.49) | 57.08% ( -1.48) |
Leeds United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
92.01% ( 0.64) | 7.98% ( -0.64) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
71.83% ( 1.6) | 28.17% ( -1.59) |
Luton Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
55.76% ( -0.43) | 44.24% ( 0.44) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
19.68% ( -0.35) | 80.32% ( 0.36) |
Score Analysis |
Leeds United | Draw | Luton Town |
2-0 @ 11.28% ( -0.06) 3-0 @ 9.51% ( 0.24) 2-1 @ 9.2% ( -0.16) 1-0 @ 8.93% ( -0.33) 3-1 @ 7.75% ( 0.11) 4-0 @ 6.01% ( 0.33) 4-1 @ 4.9% ( 0.22) 3-2 @ 3.16% ( 0) 5-0 @ 3.04% ( 0.26) 5-1 @ 2.48% ( 0.18) 4-2 @ 2% ( 0.06) 6-0 @ 1.28% ( 0.14) 6-1 @ 1.04% ( 0.11) 5-2 @ 1.01% ( 0.06) Other @ 2.94% Total : 74.53% | 1-1 @ 7.28% ( -0.36) 2-2 @ 3.75% ( -0.11) 0-0 @ 3.53% ( -0.25) Other @ 0.98% Total : 15.55% | 1-2 @ 2.97% ( -0.19) 0-1 @ 2.88% ( -0.24) 0-2 @ 1.18% ( -0.11) 2-3 @ 1.02% ( -0.04) Other @ 1.88% Total : 9.92% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 21 | 9 | 12 | 32 |
2 | Sunderland | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 25 | 11 | 14 | 31 |
3 | Burnley | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 19 | 6 | 13 | 30 |
4 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 24 | 9 | 15 | 29 |
5 | Watford | 16 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 25 | 24 | 1 | 26 |
6 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 15 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 16 | 9 | 7 | 25 |
7 | Middlesbrough | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 23 | 17 | 6 | 24 |
8 | Millwall | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 23 |
9 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 19 | 17 | 2 | 22 |
10 | Bristol City | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 22 |
11 | Swansea CitySwansea | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 19 |
12 | Derby CountyDerby | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 19 |
13 | Stoke CityStoke | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 18 | 19 | -1 | 19 |
14 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 18 | 26 | -8 | 19 |
15 | Norwich CityNorwich | 15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 18 |
16 | Coventry CityCoventry | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 22 | 23 | -1 | 17 |
17 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 17 | 18 | -1 | 17 |
18 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 17 | 28 | -11 | 17 |
19 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 15 | 24 | -9 | 16 |
20 | Hull City | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 16 | 20 | -4 | 15 |
21 | Preston North EndPreston | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 15 | 23 | -8 | 15 |
22 | Luton TownLuton | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 17 | 26 | -9 | 15 |
23 | Portsmouth | 15 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 28 | -12 | 12 |
24 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 15 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 25 | -13 | 10 |
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