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Championship | Gameweek 19
Dec 2, 2023 at 3pm UK
Elland Road
Middlesbrough logo

Leeds
3 - 2
Middlesbrough

James (5'), Summerville (7'), Piroe (38' pen.)
Rutter (41'), James (45+6')
FT(HT: 3-2)
Latte Lath (3', 45')
Howson (37'), Clarke (37'), Dijksteel (45+5'), Jones (54'), Crooks (67'), Rogers (83')
Dijksteel (62')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Leeds United and Middlesbrough, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Leeds 3-1 Swansea
Wednesday, November 29 at 7.45pm in Championship

We said: Leeds United 2-2 Middlesbrough

Many will argue that these are two of the best teams in the Championship and we are not going to argue. It leads us to predict a thrilling encounter, one which may go back and forth before they settle on a share of the spoils, a result that would suit neither team. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 42.78%. A win for Middlesbrough had a probability of 33.75% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.16%) and 2-0 (6.03%). The likeliest Middlesbrough win was 1-2 (7.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.55%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Leeds United would win this match.

Result
Leeds UnitedDrawMiddlesbrough
42.78% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01) 23.47% (0.004999999999999 0) 33.75% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Both teams to score 62.79% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.13% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)38.87% (0.022999999999996 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.81% (-0.026000000000003 -0.03)61.18% (0.023000000000003 0.02)
Leeds United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.44% (-0.012999999999991 -0.01)18.55% (0.009999999999998 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.18% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)49.81% (0.018999999999998 0.02)
Middlesbrough Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.09% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)22.9% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.33% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)56.66% (0.016999999999996 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Leeds United 42.78%
    Middlesbrough 33.75%
    Draw 23.46%
Leeds UnitedDrawMiddlesbrough
2-1 @ 8.89% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-0 @ 7.16% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
2-0 @ 6.03% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-1 @ 4.99% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-2 @ 3.68% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-0 @ 3.39%
4-1 @ 2.1% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-2 @ 1.55% (-0.002 -0)
4-0 @ 1.43%
Other @ 3.58%
Total : 42.78%
1-1 @ 10.55% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
2-2 @ 6.55% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-0 @ 4.25% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-3 @ 1.81% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 23.46%
1-2 @ 7.78%
0-1 @ 6.26% (0.0039999999999996 0)
0-2 @ 4.62% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-3 @ 3.82% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-3 @ 3.22% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-3 @ 2.27%
1-4 @ 1.41% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-4 @ 1.19% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 3.2%
Total : 33.75%

How you voted: Leeds vs Middlesbrough

Leeds United
83.3%
Draw
0.0%
Middlesbrough
16.7%
6
Head to Head
Feb 26, 2020 7.45pm
Nov 30, 2019 3pm
Feb 9, 2019 1pm
Gameweek 31
Middlesbrough
1-1
Leeds
Wing (47')
Saville (59'), Howson (98')
Phillips (101')
Jansson (103')
Aug 31, 2018 7.45pm
Gameweek 6
Leeds
0-0
Middlesbrough
Saiz (34'), Douglas (53'), Berardi (73'), Cooper (78')
Besic (55'), Clayton (62'), Ayala (80'), Flint (90')
Mar 2, 2018 7.45pm
Middlesbrough
3-0
Leeds
Bamford (31', 36', 68')
Leadbitter (34')

Saiz (34'), Anita (41'), Cooper (73')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sunderland1594225111431
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd1510321971231
3Leeds UnitedLeeds158522491529
4Burnley157621861227
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom15672169725
6Watford158162322125
7Middlesbrough157352317624
8Millwall156541813523
9Blackburn RoversBlackburn156451917222
10Bristol City155732019122
11Swansea CitySwansea155461110119
12Derby CountyDerby155461919019
13Stoke CityStoke155461819-119
14Norwich CityNorwich154652322118
15Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds155371725-818
16Oxford UnitedOxford Utd154561718-117
17Coventry CityCoventry154472021-116
18Plymouth ArgylePlymouth154471526-1116
19Hull City153661620-415
20Preston North EndPreston153661523-815
21Luton TownLuton154381726-915
22Cardiff CityCardiff154381423-915
23Portsmouth152671628-1212
24Queens Park RangersQPR151771225-1310


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