Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brest win with a probability of 48.59%. A win for Lorient had a probability of 26.55% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brest win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.45%) and 0-2 (8.46%). The likeliest Lorient win was 1-0 (7.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.8%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Brest in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Brest.
Result | ||
Lorient | Draw | Brest |
26.55% ( -0.01) | 24.86% ( -0.01) | 48.59% ( 0.02) |
Both teams to score 53.69% ( 0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.06% ( 0.03) | 48.94% ( -0.03) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.97% ( 0.02) | 71.03% ( -0.03) |
Lorient Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.26% ( 0) | 32.74% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.7% ( 0) | 69.3% ( -0.01) |
Brest Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.82% ( 0.02) | 20.18% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.53% ( 0.03) | 52.47% ( -0.03) |
Score Analysis |
Lorient | Draw | Brest |
1-0 @ 7.38% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 6.59% ( -0) 2-0 @ 4.12% ( -0) 3-1 @ 2.45% 3-2 @ 1.96% ( 0) 3-0 @ 1.53% ( -0) Other @ 2.52% Total : 26.55% | 1-1 @ 11.8% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.61% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.28% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.05% ( 0) Other @ 0.13% Total : 24.85% | 0-1 @ 10.57% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 9.45% ( 0) 0-2 @ 8.46% ( 0) 1-3 @ 5.04% ( 0) 0-3 @ 4.52% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.82% ( 0) 1-4 @ 2.02% ( 0) 0-4 @ 1.81% ( 0) 2-4 @ 1.13% ( 0) Other @ 2.78% Total : 48.58% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 16 | 12 | 4 | 0 | 44 | 14 | 30 | 40 |
2 | Marseille | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 37 | 19 | 18 | 33 |
3 | MonacoMonaco | 16 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 26 | 16 | 10 | 30 |
4 | Lille | 16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 26 | 16 | 10 | 28 |
5 | Lyon | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 28 | 20 | 8 | 28 |
6 | Nice | 16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 31 | 21 | 10 | 27 |
7 | Lens | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 19 | 15 | 4 | 24 |
8 | Toulouse | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 18 | 17 | 1 | 24 |
9 | Auxerre | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 24 | 26 | -2 | 21 |
10 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 28 | 28 | 0 | 20 |
11 | Reims | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 21 | 21 | 0 | 20 |
12 | Brest | 16 | 6 | 1 | 9 | 24 | 29 | -5 | 19 |
13 | Rennes | 16 | 5 | 2 | 9 | 22 | 23 | -1 | 17 |
14 | Angers | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 16 | 26 | -10 | 16 |
15 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 16 | 5 | 1 | 10 | 15 | 35 | -20 | 16 |
16 | NantesNantes | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 15 |
17 | Le HavreLe Havre | 16 | 4 | 0 | 12 | 12 | 34 | -22 | 12 |
18 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 16 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 15 | 39 | -24 | 9 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |