Bundesliga | Gameweek 5
Sep 28, 2024 at 2.30pm UK
Mewa Arena
Mainz0 - 2Heidenheim
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Augsburg 2-3 Mainz
Friday, September 20 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga
Friday, September 20 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Heidenheim 0-3 Freiburg
Saturday, September 21 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Saturday, September 21 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
We said: Mainz 05 2-2 Heidenheim
Only Werder Bremen have taken fewer shots than either of these teams this season; however, only Bayern Munich have a better conversion rate than Heidenheim, and Mainz are not much further behind. Therefore, goals should be guaranteed in a game between two well-matched sides, with the spoils being shared at the final whistle. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mainz 05 win with a probability of 51.21%. A win for Heidenheim had a probability of 24.86% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mainz 05 win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.67%) and 2-0 (8.65%). The likeliest Heidenheim win was 0-1 (6.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.31%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Mainz 05 | Draw | Heidenheim |
51.21% ( 0.12) | 23.93% ( 0.04) | 24.86% ( -0.15) |
| Both teams to score 55.09% ( -0.28) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
