Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 53.72%. A win for Arsenal had a probability of 25.14% and a draw had a probability of 21.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (6.85%) and 1-0 (6.6%). The likeliest Arsenal win was 1-2 (6.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.05%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.