MX23RW : Friday, January 17 18:19:46| >> :300:86500:86500:
Blackburn logo
Bristol City
Burnley logo
Cardiff City logo
Coventry City
Derby logo
Hull logo
Leeds logo
Luton Town
Middlesbrough logo
Millwall logo
Norwich logo
Oxford United
Plymouth Argyle
Portsmouth
Preston North End logo
QPR logo
Sheffield United logo
Sheffield Wednesday logo
Stoke logo
Sunderland
Swansea logo
Watford logo
West Brom logo
Middlesbrough logo
Championship | Gameweek 30
Feb 4, 2024 at 12pm UK
Riverside Stadium
Sunderland

Middlesbrough
1 - 1
Sunderland

Forss (61')
Engel (34'), Greenwood (75'), Ayling (79')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Rusyn (83')
Hume (14'), Ba (34'), Ekwah (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Championship clash between Middlesbrough and Sunderland, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sunderland 3-1 Stoke
Saturday, January 27 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Middlesbrough 1-1 Sunderland

With these two teams among the most inconsistent in the Championship, this is a difficult match to predict. Sunderland will fancy their chances of building on the win over Stoke, yet we think that Boro will have enough quality in their ranks to earn a share of the spoils. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 42.28%. A win for Middlesbrough had a probability of 32.94% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.72%) and 0-2 (6.72%). The likeliest Middlesbrough win was 2-1 (7.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.61%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
MiddlesbroughDrawSunderland
32.94% (0.13500000000001 0.14) 24.77% (-0.11 -0.11) 42.28% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)
Both teams to score 57.8% (0.437 0.44)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.72% (0.547 0.55)45.28% (-0.549 -0.55)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.38% (0.522 0.52)67.62% (-0.523 -0.52)
Middlesbrough Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.58% (0.34999999999999 0.35)26.42% (-0.352 -0.35)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.41% (0.462 0.46)61.59% (-0.464 -0.46)
Sunderland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.55% (0.21900000000001 0.22)21.45% (-0.221 -0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.54% (0.33799999999999 0.34)54.46% (-0.34 -0.34)
Score Analysis
    Middlesbrough 32.95%
    Sunderland 42.28%
    Draw 24.77%
MiddlesbroughDrawSunderland
2-1 @ 7.73% (0.024 0.02)
1-0 @ 7.54% (-0.102 -0.1)
2-0 @ 5.02% (-0.018 -0.02)
3-1 @ 3.43% (0.045 0.04)
3-2 @ 2.64% (0.052 0.05)
3-0 @ 2.23% (0.014 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.14% (0.026 0.03)
Other @ 3.22%
Total : 32.95%
1-1 @ 11.61% (-0.08 -0.08)
2-2 @ 5.95% (0.058 0.06)
0-0 @ 5.67% (-0.134 -0.13)
3-3 @ 1.36% (0.036 0.04)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.77%
1-2 @ 8.94% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-1 @ 8.72% (-0.148 -0.15)
0-2 @ 6.72% (-0.068000000000001 -0.07)
1-3 @ 4.59% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
0-3 @ 3.45% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-3 @ 3.05% (0.05 0.05)
1-4 @ 1.77% (0.024 0.02)
0-4 @ 1.33% (0.004 0)
2-4 @ 1.18% (0.027 0.03)
Other @ 2.55%
Total : 42.28%

How you voted: Middlesbrough vs Sunderland

Middlesbrough
50.0%
Draw
25.0%
Sunderland
25.0%
12
Head to Head
Oct 7, 2023 12.30pm
Gameweek 11
Sunderland
0-4
Middlesbrough

Neill (17'), Ballard (45+5'), Roberts (70'), Clarke (74')
Neill (45+3')
Greenwood (58'), Crooks (60'), Jones (72'), Forss (90')
Jones (32'), Coburn (45+5')
Jan 22, 2023 12pm
Sep 5, 2022 8pm
Jul 27, 2018 7.30pm
Pre-season Friendlies
Middlesbrough
0-0
Sunderland
Feb 24, 2018 3pm
Sunderland
3-3
Middlesbrough
Asoro (11'), Williams (58'), McManaman (90')
Maja (45'), Honeyman (65'), McGeady (84'), Oviedo (90'), McManaman (90')
Clarke-Salter (24')
Bamford (50', 68'), Leadbitter (53' pen.)
Leadbitter (55')
Traore (37')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds26158348192953
2Burnley26141023192252
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd26166436171952
4Sunderland26148439221750
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2612683123842
6Middlesbrough26118743321141
7West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom26913432211140
8Watford26115103637-138
9Bristol City2691073330337
10Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds2610793840-237
11Norwich CityNorwich269984337636
12Swansea CitySwansea2697103030034
13Queens Park RangersQPR2671182934-532
14Millwall257992423130
15Preston North EndPreston2661282834-630
16Coventry CityCoventry2678113437-329
17Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2678112941-1229
18Derby CountyDerby2676133135-427
19Stoke CityStoke2669112432-827
20Luton TownLuton2674152744-1725
21Cardiff CityCardiff2659122641-1524
22Hull City2658132536-1123
23Portsmouth2558123044-1423
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2649132554-2921


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!