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Championship | Gameweek 30
Feb 4, 2024 at 12pm UK
Riverside Stadium
Sunderland

Middlesbrough
1 - 1
Sunderland

Forss (61')
Engel (34'), Greenwood (75'), Ayling (79')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Rusyn (83')
Hume (14'), Ba (34'), Ekwah (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Championship clash between Middlesbrough and Sunderland, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sunderland 3-1 Stoke
Saturday, January 27 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Middlesbrough 1-1 Sunderland

With these two teams among the most inconsistent in the Championship, this is a difficult match to predict. Sunderland will fancy their chances of building on the win over Stoke, yet we think that Boro will have enough quality in their ranks to earn a share of the spoils. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 42.28%. A win for Middlesbrough had a probability of 32.94% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.72%) and 0-2 (6.72%). The likeliest Middlesbrough win was 2-1 (7.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.61%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
MiddlesbroughDrawSunderland
32.94% (0.13500000000001 0.14) 24.77% (-0.11 -0.11) 42.28% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)
Both teams to score 57.8% (0.437 0.44)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.72% (0.547 0.55)45.28% (-0.549 -0.55)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.38% (0.522 0.52)67.62% (-0.523 -0.52)
Middlesbrough Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.58% (0.34999999999999 0.35)26.42% (-0.352 -0.35)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.41% (0.462 0.46)61.59% (-0.464 -0.46)
Sunderland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.55% (0.21900000000001 0.22)21.45% (-0.221 -0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.54% (0.33799999999999 0.34)54.46% (-0.34 -0.34)
Score Analysis
    Middlesbrough 32.95%
    Sunderland 42.28%
    Draw 24.77%
MiddlesbroughDrawSunderland
2-1 @ 7.73% (0.024 0.02)
1-0 @ 7.54% (-0.102 -0.1)
2-0 @ 5.02% (-0.018 -0.02)
3-1 @ 3.43% (0.045 0.04)
3-2 @ 2.64% (0.052 0.05)
3-0 @ 2.23% (0.014 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.14% (0.026 0.03)
Other @ 3.22%
Total : 32.95%
1-1 @ 11.61% (-0.08 -0.08)
2-2 @ 5.95% (0.058 0.06)
0-0 @ 5.67% (-0.134 -0.13)
3-3 @ 1.36% (0.036 0.04)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.77%
1-2 @ 8.94% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-1 @ 8.72% (-0.148 -0.15)
0-2 @ 6.72% (-0.068000000000001 -0.07)
1-3 @ 4.59% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
0-3 @ 3.45% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-3 @ 3.05% (0.05 0.05)
1-4 @ 1.77% (0.024 0.02)
0-4 @ 1.33% (0.004 0)
2-4 @ 1.18% (0.027 0.03)
Other @ 2.55%
Total : 42.28%

How you voted: Middlesbrough vs Sunderland

Middlesbrough
50.0%
Draw
25.0%
Sunderland
25.0%
12
Head to Head
Oct 7, 2023 12.30pm
Gameweek 11
Sunderland
0-4
Middlesbrough

Neill (17'), Ballard (45+5'), Roberts (70'), Clarke (74')
Neill (45+3')
Greenwood (58'), Crooks (60'), Jones (72'), Forss (90')
Jones (32'), Coburn (45+5')
Jan 22, 2023 12pm
Sep 5, 2022 8pm
Jul 27, 2018 7.30pm
Pre-season Friendlies
Middlesbrough
0-0
Sunderland
Feb 24, 2018 3pm
Sunderland
3-3
Middlesbrough
Asoro (11'), Williams (58'), McManaman (90')
Maja (45'), Honeyman (65'), McGeady (84'), Oviedo (90'), McManaman (90')
Clarke-Salter (24')
Bamford (50', 68'), Leadbitter (53' pen.)
Leadbitter (55')
Traore (37')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sunderland1594225111431
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd1510321971231
3Leeds UnitedLeeds158522491529
4Burnley157621861227
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom15672169725
6Watford158162322125
7Middlesbrough157352317624
8Millwall156541813523
9Blackburn RoversBlackburn156451917222
10Bristol City155732019122
11Swansea CitySwansea155461110119
12Derby CountyDerby155461919019
13Stoke CityStoke155461819-119
14Norwich CityNorwich154652322118
15Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds155371725-818
16Oxford UnitedOxford Utd154561718-117
17Coventry CityCoventry154472021-116
18Plymouth ArgylePlymouth154471526-1116
19Hull City153661620-415
20Preston North EndPreston153661523-815
21Luton TownLuton154381726-915
22Cardiff CityCardiff154381423-915
23Portsmouth152671628-1212
24Queens Park RangersQPR151771225-1310


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