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Major League Soccer
Jul 21, 2024 at 12.30am UK
Stade Saputo
Toronto FC

Montreal
0 - 1
Toronto


Lassiter (30')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Laryea (38')
O'Neill (53'), Laryea (74'), Petretta (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between CF Montreal and Toronto, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: NY Red Bulls 2-2 Montreal
Thursday, July 18 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Inter Miami 3-1 Toronto
Thursday, July 18 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: CF Montreal 1-0 Toronto

Toronto have continually shot themselves in the foot with mental errors, and we expect to see a confident Montreal side eventually capitalise on that this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CF Montreal win with a probability of 49.61%. A win for Toronto had a probability of 26.77% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a CF Montreal win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.06%) and 2-0 (7.87%). The likeliest Toronto win was 1-2 (6.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.01%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.

Result
CF MontrealDrawToronto
49.61% (0.95 0.95) 23.62% (-0.4 -0.4) 26.77% (-0.551 -0.55)
Both teams to score 57.99% (0.892 0.89)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.65% (1.389 1.39)43.35% (-1.389 -1.39)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.25% (1.353 1.35)65.75% (-1.353 -1.35)
CF Montreal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.41% (0.902 0.9)17.59% (-0.903 -0.9)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.84% (1.544 1.54)48.16% (-1.545 -1.55)
Toronto Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.37% (0.313 0.31)29.63% (-0.314 -0.31)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.33% (0.38 0.38)65.67% (-0.381 -0.38)
Score Analysis
    CF Montreal 49.61%
    Toronto 26.77%
    Draw 23.61%
CF MontrealDrawToronto
2-1 @ 9.57% (0.062000000000001 0.06)
1-0 @ 9.06% (-0.288 -0.29)
2-0 @ 7.87% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
3-1 @ 5.55% (0.194 0.19)
3-0 @ 4.56% (0.122 0.12)
3-2 @ 3.37% (0.147 0.15)
4-1 @ 2.41% (0.151 0.15)
4-0 @ 1.98% (0.109 0.11)
4-2 @ 1.47% (0.104 0.1)
Other @ 3.78%
Total : 49.61%
1-1 @ 11.01% (-0.25 -0.25)
2-2 @ 5.82% (0.088 0.09)
0-0 @ 5.21% (-0.325 -0.33)
3-3 @ 1.37% (0.071 0.07)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 23.61%
1-2 @ 6.7% (-0.094 -0.09)
0-1 @ 6.34% (-0.337 -0.34)
0-2 @ 3.86% (-0.17 -0.17)
1-3 @ 2.72% (-0.014 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.36% (0.056 0.06)
0-3 @ 1.56% (-0.055 -0.06)
Other @ 3.23%
Total : 26.77%

How you voted: Montreal vs Toronto

CF Montreal
76.5%
Draw
20.6%
Toronto
2.9%
34
Head to Head
May 19, 2024 12.30am
Aug 21, 2023 12.30am
Toronto
2-3
Montreal
Bernardeschi (66', 90+4')
Servania (45+5')
Petretta (77')
Choiniere (18', 79'), Mabika (25' og.)
Campbell (90+3')
May 14, 2023 12.30am
Sep 5, 2022 12.30am
Toronto
3-4
Montreal
Bernardeschi (5' pen.), Insigne (7', 90+3')
Miller (19'), Mihailovic (21'), Kamara (43'), Johnston (54')
Jul 17, 2022 12.30am
rhs 2.0
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Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami34228479493074
2Columbus Crew34199672403266
3FC CincinnatiCincinnati341851158481059
4Orlando City34157125950952
5Charlotte FCCharlotte FC34149114637951
6New York City FCNY City34148125449550
7New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls34111495550547
8CF MontrealMontreal341110134864-1643
9Atlanta UnitedAtlanta341010144649-340
10DC United341010145270-1840
11Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia34910156255737
12Toronto34114194061-2137
13Nashville SCNashville3499163854-1636
14New England RevolutionNew England3494213774-3731
15Chicago Fire3479184062-2230

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Los Angeles FCLos Angeles34197863432064
2Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy34197869501964
3Real Salt LakeSalt Lake341611765481759
4Seattle SoundersSeattle34169951351657
5Houston DynamoHouston34159104739854
6Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd34157125849952
7Colorado RapidsColorado34155146160150
8Portland TimbersPortland341211116556947
9Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver34138135249347
10Austin FCAustin34119143948-942
11Dallas34118155456-241
12St Louis City34813135063-1337
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas3487195166-1531
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes3463254178-3721


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