MX23RW : Sunday, November 17 20:34:29| >> :120:64517:64517:
Morecambe
EFL Trophy | Group Stage
Nov 12, 2024 at 7pm UK
Mazuma Stadium
Carlisle United

Morecambe
1 - 2
Carlisle

Hope (16')
Snowball (45+1'), Lewis (76')
FT(HT: 1-0)
O'Donoghue (75'), Williams (78')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's EFL Trophy clash between Morecambe and Carlisle United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Harrogate 1-2 Morecambe
Saturday, November 9 at 12.30pm in League Two
Last Game: Salford City 0-1 Carlisle
Saturday, November 9 at 12.30pm in League Two

We said: Morecambe 1-0 Carlisle United

Both teams will be focusing on their next matches in League Two, but the chance to put another win on the board and build confidence still makes this an important game, and we are backing Morecambe to edge a close fixture on Tuesday night. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carlisle United win with a probability of 41.85%. A win for Morecambe had a probability of 32.05% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Carlisle United win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.79%) and 0-2 (7.29%). The likeliest Morecambe win was 1-0 (8.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Carlisle United would win this match.

Result
MorecambeDrawCarlisle United
32.05% (-0.466 -0.47) 26.09% (0.0010000000000012 0) 41.85% (0.462 0.46)
Both teams to score 53.05% (-0.166 -0.17)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.7% (-0.14599999999999 -0.15)51.3% (0.143 0.14)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.87% (-0.126 -0.13)73.12% (0.123 0.12)
Morecambe Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.05% (-0.381 -0.38)29.95% (0.379 0.38)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.94% (-0.462 -0.46)66.06% (0.459 0.46)
Carlisle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.73% (0.17099999999999 0.17)24.27% (-0.174 -0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.37% (0.24 0.24)58.63% (-0.243 -0.24)
Score Analysis
    Morecambe 32.05%
    Carlisle United 41.85%
    Draw 26.08%
MorecambeDrawCarlisle United
1-0 @ 8.76% (-0.042 -0.04)
2-1 @ 7.48% (-0.077999999999999 -0.08)
2-0 @ 5.28% (-0.082 -0.08)
3-1 @ 3.01% (-0.063 -0.06)
3-2 @ 2.13% (-0.034 -0.03)
3-0 @ 2.12% (-0.056 -0.06)
4-1 @ 0.91% (-0.029 -0.03)
Other @ 2.36%
Total : 32.05%
1-1 @ 12.4%
0-0 @ 7.27% (0.041 0.04)
2-2 @ 5.3% (-0.029 -0.03)
3-3 @ 1.01% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.08%
0-1 @ 10.29% (0.11 0.11)
1-2 @ 8.79% (0.045 0.04)
0-2 @ 7.29% (0.113 0.11)
1-3 @ 4.15% (0.042 0.04)
0-3 @ 3.44% (0.07 0.07)
2-3 @ 2.5% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-4 @ 1.47% (0.022 0.02)
0-4 @ 1.22% (0.031 0.03)
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 41.85%

How you voted: Morecambe vs Carlisle

Morecambe
65.9%
Draw
22.0%
Carlisle United
12.2%
41
Head to Head
Nov 9, 2021 7pm
Group Stage
Morecambe
0-2
Carlisle

Gibson (34')
Gibson (49'), Mellor (54')
Mar 6, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 34
Morecambe
3-1
Carlisle
Wildig (32'), Diagouraga (37'), Stockton (53')
Lavelle (12'), Mellor (45+2')
Hayden (79')
Alessandra (39')
Oct 27, 2020 7pm
Gameweek 9
Carlisle
3-1
Morecambe
Songo'o (1' og.), Mellish (3'), Tanner (87')
Riley (37'), Reilly (89')
Songo'o (79')
O'Sullivan (50'), Songo'o (81')
Feb 22, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 35
Carlisle
2-2
Morecambe
Patrick (45'), Hayden (65')
Watt (51'), Anderton (59'), Webster (90')
Stockton (18'), Wildig (24')
Cranston (85')
Dec 7, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 20
Morecambe
1-1
Carlisle
O'Sullivan (50')
Alessandra (33'), Conlan (57')
Hope (47')
Hope (29'), Branthwaite (61')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
6pm
Packers
@
Bears
6pm
Raiders
@
Dolphins
6pm
Colts
@
Jets
6pm
Jags
@
Lions
6pm
Rams
@
Patriots
6pm
Browns
@
Saints
6pm
Ravens
@
Steelers
6pm
Vikings
@
Titans
9.05pm
Seahawks
@
49ers
9.05pm
Falcons
@
Broncos
9.25pm
Chiefs
@
Bills
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool119112161528
2Manchester CityMan City117222213923
3Chelsea115422113819
4Arsenal115421812619
5Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest115421510519
6Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton115421915419
7Fulham115331613318
8Newcastle UnitedNewcastle115331311218
9Aston Villa115331717018
10Tottenham HotspurSpurs1151523131016
11Brentford115152222016
12Bournemouth114341515015
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd114341212015
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham113351319-612
15Leicester CityLeicester112451421-710
16Everton112451017-710
17Ipswich TownIpswich111551222-108
18Crystal Palace11146815-77
19Wolverhampton WanderersWolves111371627-116
20Southampton11119721-144


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!