Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 39.69%. A win for Boavista had a probability of 34.92% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 1-0 with a probability of 9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.63%) and 2-0 (6.47%). The likeliest Boavista win was 0-1 (8.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.99%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
Result | ||
Nacional | Draw | Boavista |
39.69% ( 0.32) | 25.39% ( 0.06) | 34.92% ( -0.38) |
Both teams to score 56.17% ( -0.28) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.38% ( -0.34) | 47.62% ( 0.34) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.18% ( -0.31) | 69.82% ( 0.32) |
Nacional Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.27% ( 0.01) | 23.73% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.14% ( 0.02) | 57.86% ( -0.02) |
Boavista Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.64% ( -0.38) | 26.36% ( 0.38) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.5% ( -0.51) | 61.5% ( 0.52) |
Score Analysis |
Nacional | Draw | Boavista |
1-0 @ 9% ( 0.13) 2-1 @ 8.63% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 6.47% ( 0.09) 3-1 @ 4.14% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 3.1% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 2.76% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.49% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.12% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 0.99% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.01% Total : 39.69% | 1-1 @ 11.99% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 6.25% ( 0.09) 2-2 @ 5.75% ( -0.04) 3-3 @ 1.23% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.38% | 0-1 @ 8.34% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 8% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 5.56% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 3.56% ( -0.07) 2-3 @ 2.56% ( -0.05) 0-3 @ 2.47% ( -0.05) 1-4 @ 1.19% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.25% Total : 34.92% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 14 | 12 | 0 | 2 | 43 | 10 | 33 | 36 |
2 | Porto | 14 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 33 | 9 | 24 | 34 |
3 | Benfica | 13 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 32 | 8 | 24 | 32 |
4 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 14 | 9 | 0 | 5 | 16 | 13 | 3 | 27 |
5 | Braga | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 25 | 16 | 9 | 25 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 18 | 14 | 4 | 22 |
7 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 20 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 14 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 19 |
9 | Casa Pia | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 17 | -4 | 17 |
10 | Gil Vicente | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 24 | -7 | 16 |
11 | Rio AveRio Ave | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 16 |
12 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 12 | 21 | -9 | 14 |
13 | Nacional | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 17 | -9 | 12 |
14 | AVS | 14 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 11 | 22 | -11 | 12 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 12 | 24 | -12 | 12 |
16 | BoavistaBoavista | 14 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 19 | -9 | 11 |
17 | AroucaArouca | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 8 | 23 | -15 | 11 |
18 | SC FarenseFarense | 14 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 7 | 20 | -13 | 9 |
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