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AFC Wimbledon
Accrington Stanley
Barrow
Bradford City
Bromley
Carlisle United
Cheltenham Town
Chesterfield
Colchester United
Crewe Alexandra
Doncaster Rovers
Fleetwood Town
Gillingham
Grimsby Town
Harrogate Town
MK Dons
Morecambe
Newport County
Notts County
Port Vale
Salford City
Swindon Town
Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
Newport County
League Two | Gameweek 25
Dec 29, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Rodney Parade
Crewe Alexandra

Newport
1 - 1
Crewe

Evans (64')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Long (48')
Williams (72')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's League Two clash between Newport County and Crewe Alexandra, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Newport County 2-1 Crewe Alexandra

Newport extended their unbeaten home form with a resolute Boxing Day display against Forest Green Rovers and we are backing them to pick up where they left off and edge out a floundering Crewe side who have failed to taste victory since late November. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newport County win with a probability of 45.48%. A win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 30.22% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newport County win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.83%) and 2-0 (7.2%). The likeliest Crewe Alexandra win was 1-2 (7.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood.

Result
Newport CountyDrawCrewe Alexandra
45.48% (0.0080000000000027 0.01) 24.3% (-0.0010000000000012 -0) 30.22% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Both teams to score 58.18% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.76% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)44.24% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.39% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)66.61% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)
Newport County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.4% (0.0069999999999908 0.01)19.6% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.47% (0.011000000000003 0.01)51.53% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)
Crewe Alexandra Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.36% (0.0019999999999953 0)27.64% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.81% (0.00099999999999767 0)63.19% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Score Analysis
    Newport County 45.48%
    Crewe Alexandra 30.22%
    Draw 24.3%
Newport CountyDrawCrewe Alexandra
2-1 @ 9.25% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-0 @ 8.83% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-0 @ 7.2%
3-1 @ 5.03% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-0 @ 3.91% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-2 @ 3.23% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 2.05% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-0 @ 1.59% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-2 @ 1.32% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 3.08%
Total : 45.48%
1-1 @ 11.35%
2-2 @ 5.95% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-0 @ 5.42% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-3 @ 1.39% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 24.3%
1-2 @ 7.3% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-1 @ 6.97% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-2 @ 4.48% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-3 @ 3.13%
2-3 @ 2.55%
0-3 @ 1.92% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-4 @ 1.01% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.88%
Total : 30.22%

How you voted: Newport vs Crewe

Newport County
50.0%
Draw
0.0%
Crewe Alexandra
50.0%
6
Head to Head
Aug 15, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 3
Crewe
4-2
Newport
Demetriou (8', 57'), Long (66' pen.), Nevitt (71')
Evans (21'), Charsley (75')
Bondswell (83'), Waite (90+3')
May 8, 2023 12.30pm
Gameweek 46
Newport
2-2
Crewe
Bogle (77' pen., 90+1')
Adebisi (56'), Brook (90+3')
Dec 2, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 20
Crewe
1-2
Newport
Brook (13')
Norman (62'), Zanzala (85')
Apr 10, 2020 3pm
Aug 24, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 5
Newport
1-0
Crewe
Amond (93')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Port Vale1710432517834
2Walsall1694330171331
3Crewe AlexandraCrewe168532014629
4Doncaster RoversDoncaster178542218429
5Notts County177732315828
6MK Dons168352719827
7AFC Wimbledon1682625141126
8Chesterfield1767430201025
9Grimsby Town178181926-725
10Bradford CityBradford166552117423
11Gillingham167271714323
12BarrowBarrow176471716122
13Fleetwood TownFleetwood145632015521
14Cheltenham TownCheltenham176382225-321
15Salford City165651518-321
16Newport CountyNewport176381926-721
17Harrogate TownHarrogate176381623-721
18Accrington StanleyAccrington164662226-418
19Bromley163851921-217
20Colchester UnitedColchester163851922-317
21Tranmere RoversTranmere164571020-1017
22Swindon TownSwindon172782028-813
23Morecambe1734101729-1213
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle1734101429-1513


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