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AFC Wimbledon
Accrington Stanley
Barrow
Bradford City
Bromley
Carlisle United
Cheltenham Town
Chesterfield
Colchester United
Crewe Alexandra
Doncaster Rovers
Fleetwood Town
Gillingham
Grimsby Town
Harrogate Town
MK Dons
Morecambe
Newport County
Notts County
Port Vale
Salford City
Swindon Town
Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
Notts County
League Two | Gameweek 40
Mar 23, 2024 at 3pm UK
Meadow Lane Stadium
Salford City

Notts County
1 - 2
Salford City

Crowley (53')
FT(HT: 0-1)
McAleny (31', 87')
Mariappa (49'), Hendry (54'), McAleny (80')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Notts County and Salford City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bradford 0-3 Notts County
Tuesday, March 19 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Salford City 3-1 Morecambe
Sunday, March 17 at 2pm in League Two

We said: Notts County 2-1 Salford City

Both teams have made improvements to their performances in recent games, so they head into this fixture with confidence which should make for a closely-contested match. However, Notts County should have just enough quality to edge through this one as the Magpies are focusing on making a late promotion push. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 47.25%. A win for Salford City had a probability of 31.03% and a draw had a probability of 21.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.81%) and 1-0 (5.71%). The likeliest Salford City win was 1-2 (7.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.

Result
Notts CountyDrawSalford City
47.25% (0.036999999999999 0.04) 21.72% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01) 31.03% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
Both teams to score 68.18% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
68.68% (0.02000000000001 0.02)31.32% (-0.022000000000002 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
47.24% (0.024000000000001 0.02)52.76% (-0.026999999999994 -0.03)
Notts County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.07% (0.018000000000001 0.02)13.93% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.6% (0.037999999999997 0.04)41.39% (-0.041000000000004 -0.04)
Salford City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.22% (-0.0080000000000098 -0.01)20.78% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.57% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)53.43% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Notts County 47.25%
    Salford City 31.03%
    Draw 21.72%
Notts CountyDrawSalford City
2-1 @ 8.84% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-1 @ 5.81% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-0 @ 5.71% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-0 @ 5.62% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-2 @ 4.56% (0.0029999999999992 0)
3-0 @ 3.7% (0.004 0)
4-1 @ 2.86% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-2 @ 2.25% (0.004 0)
4-0 @ 1.82% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-3 @ 1.18% (0.002 0)
5-1 @ 1.13% (0.002 0)
Other @ 3.79%
Total : 47.25%
1-1 @ 8.97% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-2 @ 6.94%
0-0 @ 2.9% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-3 @ 2.39% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.52%
Total : 21.72%
1-2 @ 7.04% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-1 @ 4.55% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.69% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 3.64% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-2 @ 3.57% (-0.0050000000000003 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.87% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
1-4 @ 1.45% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-4 @ 1.43%
3-4 @ 0.94%
Other @ 2.86%
Total : 31.03%

How you voted: Notts County vs Salford City

Notts County
71.4%
Draw
17.9%
Salford City
10.7%
28
Head to Head
Sep 15, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 8
Salford City
0-2
Notts County

Ingram (76'), McAleny (84'), Watt (86'), Berkoe (87')
Berkoe (90+3')
McGoldrick (37'), Crowley (63')
Crowley (68'), O'Brien (82'), Nemane (89')
Nemane (90+1')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Port Vale1610332416833
2Walsall1593328151330
3Doncaster RoversDoncaster178542218429
4Notts County177732315828
5Crewe AlexandraCrewe158431913628
6MK Dons168352719827
7Chesterfield1767430201025
8Grimsby Town178181926-725
9AFC Wimbledon157262314923
10Bradford CityBradford166552117423
11Gillingham167271714323
12BarrowBarrow176471716122
13Fleetwood TownFleetwood145632015521
14Cheltenham TownCheltenham176382225-321
15Salford City165651518-321
16Newport CountyNewport176381926-721
17Harrogate TownHarrogate176381623-721
18Accrington StanleyAccrington164662226-418
19Colchester UnitedColchester163851922-317
20Tranmere RoversTranmere154561018-817
21Bromley153751719-216
22Swindon TownSwindon172782028-813
23Morecambe1734101729-1213
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle1734101429-1513


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