Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Solihull Moors win with a probability of 38.78%. A win for Oxford City had a probability of 36.78% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Solihull Moors win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.74%) and 0-2 (5.83%). The likeliest Oxford City win was 2-1 (8.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.31%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Solihull Moors in this match.