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Portsmouth
League One | Gameweek 21
Dec 11, 2023 at 8pm UK
Fratton Park
Bolton logo

Portsmouth
2 - 0
Bolton

Shaughnessy (45'), Yengi (88')
Robertson (10'), Sparkes (35'), Rafferty (85')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Thomason (14'), Sheehan (74'), Mendes Gomes (90+2'), Jones (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's League One clash between Portsmouth and Bolton Wanderers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Portsmouth 0-1 Bolton Wanderers

Losing their leading marksman before the visit of a Bolton side who have been near-unbreakable in recent games was not on Portsmouth's bingo card, although their extended recuperation period should at least play its part for the hosts. However, given Pompey's recent shortcomings at Fratton Park, Evatt's side have every right to be confident of keeping their hosts at bay, and the effective Adeboyejo-Charles pairing need just one gilt-edged chance to put another twist in the title tale. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 38.61%. A win for Portsmouth had a probability of 36.3% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.47%) and 0-2 (6.11%). The likeliest Portsmouth win was 2-1 (8.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.79%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.

Result
PortsmouthDrawBolton Wanderers
36.3% (0.107 0.11) 25.09% (0.094000000000001 0.09) 38.61% (-0.20200000000001 -0.2)
Both teams to score 57.4% (-0.336 -0.34)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.89% (-0.437 -0.44)46.1% (0.435 0.44)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.59% (-0.415 -0.41)68.4% (0.411 0.41)
Portsmouth Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.14% (-0.143 -0.14)24.85% (0.141 0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.54% (-0.19900000000001 -0.2)59.45% (0.198 0.2)
Bolton Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.38% (-0.30300000000001 -0.3)23.61% (0.3 0.3)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.3% (-0.436 -0.44)57.69% (0.435 0.44)
Score Analysis
    Portsmouth 36.3%
    Bolton Wanderers 38.61%
    Draw 25.09%
PortsmouthDrawBolton Wanderers
2-1 @ 8.21% (0.012 0.01)
1-0 @ 8.17% (0.117 0.12)
2-0 @ 5.69% (0.059 0.06)
3-1 @ 3.81% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.75% (-0.032 -0.03)
3-0 @ 2.64% (0.016 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.33% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
4-2 @ 0.96% (-0.015 -0.02)
4-0 @ 0.92% (0.002 0)
Other @ 1.83%
Total : 36.3%
1-1 @ 11.79% (0.069999999999999 0.07)
2-2 @ 5.92% (-0.044 -0.04)
0-0 @ 5.87% (0.107 0.11)
3-3 @ 1.32% (-0.027 -0.03)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 25.09%
1-2 @ 8.51% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
0-1 @ 8.47% (0.082000000000001 0.08)
0-2 @ 6.11% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
1-3 @ 4.1% (-0.05 -0.05)
0-3 @ 2.94% (-0.024 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.85% (-0.047 -0.05)
1-4 @ 1.48% (-0.031 -0.03)
0-4 @ 1.06% (-0.018 -0.02)
2-4 @ 1.03% (-0.026 -0.03)
Other @ 2.06%
Total : 38.61%

How you voted: Portsmouth vs Bolton

Portsmouth
35.1%
Draw
8.1%
Bolton Wanderers
56.8%
74
Head to Head
Feb 28, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 11
Portsmouth
3-1
Bolton
Towler (73', 84'), Bishop (87')
Charles (48')
Jan 14, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 27
Bolton
3-0
Portsmouth
Charles (15'), Lee (48'), Toal (71')
Jan 10, 2023 7.45pm
Apr 5, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 40
Bolton
1-1
Portsmouth
Sadlier (76' pen.)
Dempsey (38'), Aimson (49')
O'Brien (50')
(77')
Oct 30, 2021 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
1.15am
Steelers
@
Browns
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe14102232161632
2Birmingham CityBirmingham1393124121230
3Wrexham1584322111128
4Stockport CountyStockport167632617927
5Barnsley157532419526
6Lincoln CityLincoln157532117426
7Mansfield TownMansfield137332015524
8Huddersfield TownHuddersfield147252114723
9Exeter CityExeter147251410423
10Reading147252221123
11Bolton WanderersBolton147252224-223
12Peterborough UnitedPeterborough156363127421
13Charlton AthleticCharlton145451515019
14Bristol Rovers155371621-518
15Stevenage155371116-518
16Northampton TownNorthampton154561821-317
17Rotherham UnitedRotherham154561418-417
18Blackpool154562128-717
19Wigan AthleticWigan143561212014
20Leyton Orient144281418-414
21Crawley TownCrawley163491427-1313
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge143291324-1111
23Burton Albion141581525-108
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1522111327-148


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