Home > Football > League One
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 38.61%. A win for Portsmouth had a probability of 36.3% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.47%) and 0-2 (6.11%). The likeliest Portsmouth win was 2-1 (8.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.79%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Portsmouth | Draw | Bolton Wanderers |
36.3% ( 0.11) | 25.09% ( 0.09) | 38.61% ( -0.2) |
Both teams to score 57.4% ( -0.34) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.89% ( -0.44) | 46.1% ( 0.44) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.59% ( -0.41) | 68.4% ( 0.41) |
Portsmouth Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.14% ( -0.14) | 24.85% ( 0.14) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.54% ( -0.2) | 59.45% ( 0.2) |
Bolton Wanderers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.38% ( -0.3) | 23.61% ( 0.3) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.3% ( -0.44) | 57.69% ( 0.44) |
Score Analysis |
Portsmouth | Draw | Bolton Wanderers |
2-1 @ 8.21% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 8.17% ( 0.12) 2-0 @ 5.69% ( 0.06) 3-1 @ 3.81% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.75% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 2.64% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.33% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 0.96% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 0.92% ( 0) Other @ 1.83% Total : 36.3% | 1-1 @ 11.79% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 5.92% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 5.87% ( 0.11) 3-3 @ 1.32% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.18% Total : 25.09% | 1-2 @ 8.51% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 8.47% ( 0.08) 0-2 @ 6.11% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 4.1% ( -0.05) 0-3 @ 2.94% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.85% ( -0.05) 1-4 @ 1.48% ( -0.03) 0-4 @ 1.06% ( -0.02) 2-4 @ 1.03% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.06% Total : 38.61% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 14 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 32 | 16 | 16 | 32 |
2 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 13 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 24 | 12 | 12 | 30 |
3 | Wrexham | 14 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 22 | 10 | 12 | 28 |
4 | Barnsley | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 23 | 18 | 5 | 25 |
5 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 25 |
6 | Stockport CountyStockport | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 25 | 17 | 8 | 24 |
7 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 24 |
8 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 21 | 14 | 7 | 23 |
9 | Reading | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 22 | 21 | 1 | 23 |
10 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 22 | 24 | -2 | 23 |
11 | Exeter CityExeter | 13 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 14 | 10 | 4 | 22 |
12 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 31 | 27 | 4 | 21 |
13 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 15 | 0 | 19 |
14 | Stevenage | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 16 | -5 | 18 |
15 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 17 |
16 | Bristol Rovers | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 16 | 21 | -5 | 17 |
17 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 18 | 21 | -3 | 16 |
18 | Blackpool | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 21 | 28 | -7 | 16 |
19 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 14 |
20 | Leyton Orient | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 14 |
21 | Crawley TownCrawley | 15 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 14 | 27 | -13 | 12 |
22 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 13 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 12 | 23 | -11 | 10 |
23 | Burton Albion | 14 | 1 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 8 |
24 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 15 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 13 | 27 | -14 | 8 |
> League One Full Table |