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Ligue 1 | Gameweek 19
Jan 28, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Parc des Princes
Brest logo

PSG
2 - 2
Brest

Asensio (38'), Kolo (45')
Hernandez (26'), Mbappe (53'), Zaire-Emery (58'), Barcola (90+2')
Barcola (90+4')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Camara (55'), Pereira Lage (80')
Lees-Melou (32'), Lala (53'), Brassier (59')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Paris Saint-Germain and Brest, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Orleans 1-4 PSG
Saturday, January 20 at 7.45pm in Coupe de France
Last Game: Trelissac 1-2 Brest
Saturday, January 20 at 4.30pm in Coupe de France

We said: Paris Saint-Germain 3-1 Brest

In arguably their toughest test since the start of an incredible run of domestic results, PSG still have the quality to overcome this impressive Brest side, spearheaded by the relentless Mbappe in attack. Despite their sensational recent form, PSG are a class above, and Brest's superb run may well come to an end in the capital, but expect the visitors to put up a good fight. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 61.33%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for Brest had a probability of 17.69%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.06%) and 2-1 (9.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.88%), while for a Brest win it was 0-1 (4.9%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.

Result
Paris Saint-GermainDrawBrest
61.33% (0.020000000000003 0.02) 20.98% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01) 17.69% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
Both teams to score 54.21% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.63% (0.021000000000001 0.02)42.38% (-0.020000000000003 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.22% (0.019999999999996 0.02)64.78% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)
Paris Saint-Germain Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.68% (0.013000000000005 0.01)13.32% (-0.012 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.82% (0.024999999999999 0.02)40.18% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Brest Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.54%37.46%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.76% (0.0030000000000001 0)74.24% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Score Analysis
    Paris Saint-Germain 61.32%
    Brest 17.69%
    Draw 20.98%
Paris Saint-GermainDrawBrest
2-0 @ 10.13%
1-0 @ 10.06%
2-1 @ 9.96%
3-0 @ 6.81% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-1 @ 6.69% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 3.43% (0.0029999999999997 0)
4-1 @ 3.37% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 3.28% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-2 @ 1.66% (0.002 0)
5-0 @ 1.38% (0.002 0)
5-1 @ 1.36% (0.002 0)
Other @ 3.19%
Total : 61.32%
1-1 @ 9.88% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
0-0 @ 4.99% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.89%
3-3 @ 1.08% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 20.98%
0-1 @ 4.9% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
1-2 @ 4.85% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
0-2 @ 2.41% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-3 @ 1.6%
1-3 @ 1.59% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.35%
Total : 17.69%

How you voted: PSG vs Brest

Paris Saint-Germain
83.3%
Draw
10.8%
Brest
5.9%
102
Head to Head
Oct 29, 2023 12pm
Gameweek 10
Brest
2-3
PSG
Mounie (43'), Le Douaron (52')
Roy (0'), Brassier (86'), Martin (87'), Bizot (88')
Zaire-Emery (16'), Mbappe (28', 89')
Hakimi (87'), Ruiz (88'), Mbappe (89'), Kolo (90+4')
Mar 11, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 27
Brest
1-2
PSG
Honorat (43')
Soler (37'), Mbappe (90')
Sep 10, 2022 4pm
Gameweek 7
PSG
1-0
Brest
Neymar (30')
Jan 15, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 21
PSG
2-0
Brest
Mbappe (32'), Kehrer (53')
Herrera (24'), Mbappe (34'), Kimpembe (55'), Verratti (58'), Pereira (65')

Magnetti (34'), Agoume (45+1'), Chardonnet (61')
Aug 20, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 3
Brest
2-4
PSG
Honorat (42'), Mounie (85')
Brassier (52')
Herrera (23'), Mbappe (36'), Gueye (73'), Di Maria (90')
Verratti (54'), Mbappe (65')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG17134046153143
2Marseille17113339201936
3Lille1888228171132
4MonacoMonaco189452920931
5Nice1886436251130
6Lyon178452922728
7Lens177642116527
8Toulouse177371919024
9StrasbourgStrasbourg176563029123
10Auxerre176472426-222
11Brest177192630-422
12Reims175572325-220
13Angers175481927-819
14Rennes1752102325-217
15NantesNantes173772027-716
16Saint-EtienneSt Etienne1751111637-2116
17Le HavreLe Havre1740131336-2312
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier1833121843-2512


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