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Ligue 1
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Ligue 1 | Gameweek 19
Jan 28, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Parc des Princes
Brest logo

PSG
2 - 2
Brest

Asensio (38'), Kolo (45')
Hernandez (26'), Mbappe (53'), Zaire-Emery (58'), Barcola (90+2')
Barcola (90+4')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Camara (55'), Pereira Lage (80')
Lees-Melou (32'), Lala (53'), Brassier (59')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Paris Saint-Germain and Brest, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Paris Saint-Germain

All competitions
Ligue 1
Last Game: Orleans 1-4 PSG
Saturday, January 20 at 7.45pm in Coupe de France

Brest

All competitions
Ligue 1
Last Game: Trelissac 1-2 Brest
Saturday, January 20 at 4.30pm in Coupe de France

We said: Paris Saint-Germain 3-1 Brest

 In arguably their toughest test since the start of an incredible run of domestic results, PSG still have the quality to overcome this impressive Brest side, spearheaded by the relentless Mbappe in attack. Despite their sensational recent form, PSG are a class above, and Brest's superb run may well come to an end in the capital, but expect the visitors to put up a good fight. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 61.33%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for Brest had a probability of 17.69%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.06%) and 2-1 (9.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.88%), while for a Brest win it was 0-1 (4.9%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.

Result
Paris Saint-GermainDrawBrest
61.33% (0.020000000000003 0.02) 20.98% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01) 17.69% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
Both teams to score 54.21% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.63% (0.021000000000001 0.02)42.38% (-0.020000000000003 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.22% (0.019999999999996 0.02)64.78% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)
Paris Saint-Germain Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.68% (0.013000000000005 0.01)13.32% (-0.012 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.82% (0.024999999999999 0.02)40.18% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Brest Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.54%37.46%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.76% (0.0030000000000001 0)74.24% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Score Analysis
    Paris Saint-Germain 61.32%
    Brest 17.69%
    Draw 20.98%
Paris Saint-GermainDrawBrest
2-0 @ 10.13%
1-0 @ 10.06%
2-1 @ 9.96%
3-0 @ 6.81% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-1 @ 6.69% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 3.43% (0.0029999999999997 0)
4-1 @ 3.37% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 3.28% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-2 @ 1.66% (0.002 0)
5-0 @ 1.38% (0.002 0)
5-1 @ 1.36% (0.002 0)
Other @ 3.19%
Total : 61.32%
1-1 @ 9.88% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
0-0 @ 4.99% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.89%
3-3 @ 1.08% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 20.98%
0-1 @ 4.9% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
1-2 @ 4.85% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
0-2 @ 2.41% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-3 @ 1.6%
1-3 @ 1.59% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.35%
Total : 17.69%

How you voted: PSG vs Brest

Paris Saint-Germain
83.3%
Draw
10.8%
Brest
5.9%
102
Head to Head
Oct 29, 2023 12pm
Gameweek 10
Brest
2-3
PSG
Mounie (43'), Le Douaron (52')
Roy (0'), Brassier (86'), Martin (87'), Bizot (88')
Zaire-Emery (16'), Mbappe (28', 89')
Hakimi (87'), Ruiz (88'), Mbappe (89'), Kolo (90+4')
> Preview
Mar 11, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 27
Brest
1-2
PSG
Honorat (43')
Soler (37'), Mbappe (90')
> Preview
Sep 10, 2022 4pm
Gameweek 7
PSG
1-0
Brest
Neymar (30')
> Preview
Jan 15, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 21
PSG
2-0
Brest
Mbappe (32'), Kehrer (53')
Herrera (24'), Mbappe (34'), Kimpembe (55'), Verratti (58'), Pereira (65')

Magnetti (34'), Agoume (45+1'), Chardonnet (61')
> Preview
Aug 20, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 3
Brest
2-4
PSG
Honorat (42'), Mounie (85')
Brassier (52')
Herrera (23'), Mbappe (36'), Gueye (73'), Di Maria (90')
Verratti (54'), Mbappe (65')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG19145049173247
2Marseille19114440231737
3MonacoMonaco19104532221034
4Nice1996438251333
5Lille1988329191032
6Lyon198653023730
7Lens198652318530
8Brest199192931-228
9StrasbourgStrasbourg197663331227
10Toulouse197482021-125
11Auxerre196582529-423
12Reims195772527-222
13Angers196492128-722
14NantesNantes193972229-718
15Saint-EtienneSt Etienne1953111839-2118
16Rennes1952122630-417
17Montpellier HSCMontpellier1943122044-2415
18Le HavreLe Havre1941141438-2413
> Ligue 1 Full Table


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