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Championship | Gameweek 26
Jan 6, 2025 at 8pm UK
Kiyan Prince Foundation Stadium
Luton Town

QPR
2 - 1
Luton

Frey (24'), Fox (62')
Varane (49')
FT(HT: 1-1)
McGuinness (45+2')
Chong (56')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Championship clash between Queens Park Rangers and Luton Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: QPR 3-1 Watford
Wednesday, January 1 at 12.30pm in Championship
Last Game: Luton 0-1 Norwich
Wednesday, January 1 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Queens Park Rangers 2-1 Luton Town

QPR have won each of their last four home matches, and we think that they will make full use of home advantage again to take three points off their struggling opponents, who have lost each of their previous nine away games. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Queens Park Rangers win with a probability of 46.2%. A win for Luton Town had a probability of 27.53% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Queens Park Rangers win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.08%) and 2-0 (8.56%). The likeliest Luton Town win was 0-1 (8.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.46%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Queens Park Rangers in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Queens Park Rangers.

Result
Queens Park RangersDrawLuton Town
46.2% (0.0069999999999979 0.01) 26.27% (-0.0039999999999978 -0) 27.53% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Both teams to score 50.13% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.04% (0.018999999999998 0.02)53.96% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.59% (0.016999999999999 0.02)75.4% (-0.013000000000005 -0.01)
Queens Park Rangers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.68% (0.012 0.01)23.32% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.73% (0.015000000000001 0.02)57.27% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)
Luton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.37% (0.012 0.01)34.63% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.65% (0.013000000000002 0.01)71.35% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Queens Park Rangers 46.2%
    Luton Town 27.53%
    Draw 26.26%
Queens Park RangersDrawLuton Town
1-0 @ 11.75% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.08% (0.0010000000000012 0)
2-0 @ 8.56% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-1 @ 4.41% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-0 @ 4.15% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-2 @ 2.34% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-1 @ 1.6% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-0 @ 1.51% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.8%
Total : 46.2%
1-1 @ 12.46%
0-0 @ 8.07% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.81% (0.0019999999999998 0)
Other @ 0.91%
Total : 26.26%
0-1 @ 8.56% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-2 @ 6.61% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-2 @ 4.54% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-3 @ 2.34% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-3 @ 1.7% (0.0010000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 1.61%
Other @ 2.17%
Total : 27.53%

How you voted: QPR vs Luton

Queens Park Rangers
76.2%
Draw
14.6%
Luton Town
9.3%
151
Head to Head
Aug 30, 2024 8pm
Gameweek 4
Luton
1-2
QPR
Dunne (18' og.)
Chong (2'), Doughty (48'), Clark (79')
Madsen (59'), Frey (62')
Cook (30'), Field (51')
Aug 27, 2024 7.45pm
Second Round
QPR
1-1
Luton
(Aggregate 1-1 | QPR win 4-1 on penalties)
Santos (11')
Santos (33'), Colback (49'), Celar (84')
Nelson (16')
Walters (40'), Morris (72')
Dec 29, 2022 6pm
Gameweek 25
QPR
0-3
Luton
Morris (10', 47'), Doughty (81')
Oct 15, 2022 12.30pm
Gameweek 15
Luton
3-1
QPR
Adebayo (18'), Dunne (77' og.), Freeman (90+3')
Horvath (90+1' og.)
Mar 13, 2022 12pm
Gameweek 37
Luton
1-2
QPR
Jerome (37')
Gray (55' pen.), Dickie (83')
Chair (45+4'), Amos (87'), Wallace (90+5')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds26158348192953
2Burnley26141023192252
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd26166436171952
4Sunderland26148439221750
5Middlesbrough26118743321141
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom26913432211140
7Blackburn RoversBlackburn2511682823539
8Bristol City2691073330337
9Watford25114103536-137
10Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds2610793840-237
11Norwich CityNorwich269984337636
12Swansea CitySwansea2697103030034
13Queens Park RangersQPR2671182934-532
14Millwall257992423130
15Preston North EndPreston2661282834-630
16Coventry CityCoventry2678113437-329
17Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2577112840-1228
18Derby CountyDerby2676133135-427
19Stoke CityStoke2669112432-827
20Luton TownLuton2674152744-1725
21Portsmouth2458113041-1123
22Hull City2658132536-1123
23Cardiff CityCardiff2558122540-1523
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2548132453-2920


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