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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 39.98%. A win for Queens Park Rangers had a probability of 34.38% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.64%) and 0-2 (6.64%). The likeliest Queens Park Rangers win was 1-0 (8.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.14%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Queens Park Rangers | Draw | Stoke City |
34.38% ( 0.09) | 25.63% ( 0.12) | 39.98% ( -0.21) |
Both teams to score 55.24% ( -0.38) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.23% ( -0.5) | 48.77% ( 0.49) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.12% ( -0.45) | 70.87% ( 0.45) |
Queens Park Rangers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.77% ( -0.18) | 27.22% ( 0.18) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.36% ( -0.24) | 62.64% ( 0.24) |
Stoke City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.9% ( -0.33) | 24.09% ( 0.33) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.61% ( -0.47) | 58.38% ( 0.47) |
Score Analysis |
Queens Park Rangers | Draw | Stoke City |
1-0 @ 8.53% ( 0.13) 2-1 @ 7.9% ( 0) 2-0 @ 5.55% ( 0.06) 3-1 @ 3.43% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.44% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 2.41% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.12% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.01% Total : 34.38% | 1-1 @ 12.14% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 6.56% ( 0.13) 2-2 @ 5.62% ( -0.05) 3-3 @ 1.16% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.62% | 0-1 @ 9.33% ( 0.1) 1-2 @ 8.64% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 6.64% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 4.1% ( -0.06) 0-3 @ 3.15% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 2.67% ( -0.05) 1-4 @ 1.46% ( -0.03) 0-4 @ 1.12% ( -0.02) 2-4 @ 0.95% ( -0.03) Other @ 1.92% Total : 39.98% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 20 | 13 | 5 | 2 | 28 | 11 | 17 | 42 |
2 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 20 | 12 | 5 | 3 | 36 | 14 | 22 | 41 |
3 | Burnley | 20 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 24 | 7 | 17 | 38 |
4 | Sunderland | 20 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 29 | 15 | 14 | 37 |
5 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 19 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 23 | 17 | 6 | 34 |
6 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 20 | 7 | 11 | 2 | 23 | 14 | 9 | 32 |
7 | Middlesbrough | 20 | 9 | 4 | 7 | 34 | 25 | 9 | 31 |
8 | Watford | 19 | 9 | 4 | 6 | 27 | 25 | 2 | 31 |
9 | Swansea CitySwansea | 20 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 19 | 2 | 27 |
10 | Norwich CityNorwich | 20 | 6 | 8 | 6 | 35 | 30 | 5 | 26 |
11 | Bristol City | 20 | 6 | 8 | 6 | 25 | 25 | 0 | 26 |
12 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 23 | 29 | -6 | 26 |
13 | Millwall | 19 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 20 | 17 | 3 | 25 |
14 | Preston North EndPreston | 20 | 4 | 10 | 6 | 20 | 26 | -6 | 22 |
15 | Luton TownLuton | 20 | 6 | 4 | 10 | 23 | 35 | -12 | 22 |
16 | Coventry CityCoventry | 20 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 25 | 29 | -4 | 21 |
17 | Derby CountyDerby | 20 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 22 | 26 | -4 | 21 |
18 | Stoke CityStoke | 20 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 21 | 26 | -5 | 21 |
19 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 20 | 4 | 9 | 7 | 20 | 26 | -6 | 21 |
20 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 19 | 4 | 6 | 9 | 20 | 30 | -10 | 18 |
21 | Portsmouth | 18 | 3 | 8 | 7 | 21 | 30 | -9 | 17 |
22 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 19 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 17 | 30 | -13 | 17 |
23 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 19 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 19 | 40 | -21 | 17 |
24 | Hull City | 20 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 18 | 28 | -10 | 16 |
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