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League One | Gameweek 12
Oct 19, 2024 at 12.30pm UK
Select Car Leasing Stadium
Crawley Town

Reading
4 - 1
Crawley

Mbengue (20'), Wing (40'), Savage (65'), Smith (73')
Mbengue (78')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Forster (30')
Anderson (36'), Camara (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Reading and Crawley Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Rotherham 2-1 Reading
Saturday, October 5 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Crawley 3-5 Shrewsbury
Saturday, October 12 at 3pm in League One

We said: Reading 2-0 Crawley Town

Reading have won four of their five home league matches this season, and we think that they will produce another strong home performance to condemn Crawley to a seventh consecutive defeat in all competitions. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Reading win with a probability of 45.48%. A win for Crawley Town had a probability of 30.9% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Reading win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.89%) and 2-0 (6.72%). The likeliest Crawley Town win was 1-2 (7.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.79%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Reading would win this match.

Result
ReadingDrawCrawley Town
45.48% (-0.0030000000000001 -0) 23.61%30.9% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Both teams to score 60.99% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.29% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)40.7% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.91%63.08% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Reading Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.81% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)18.18%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.82% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)49.17%
Crawley Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.54% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)25.45% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.71%60.28% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Score Analysis
    Reading 45.48%
    Crawley Town 30.9%
    Draw 23.61%
ReadingDrawCrawley Town
2-1 @ 9.2% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-0 @ 7.89%
2-0 @ 6.72% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-1 @ 5.23%
3-0 @ 3.82%
3-2 @ 3.58%
4-1 @ 2.23% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-0 @ 1.63%
4-2 @ 1.53%
Other @ 3.65%
Total : 45.48%
1-1 @ 10.79%
2-2 @ 6.3%
0-0 @ 4.63%
3-3 @ 1.63%
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 23.61%
1-2 @ 7.39%
0-1 @ 6.33%
0-2 @ 4.33%
1-3 @ 3.37%
2-3 @ 2.87% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 1.98%
1-4 @ 1.15%
2-4 @ 0.98%
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 30.9%

How you voted: Reading vs Crawley

Reading
81.3%
Draw
6.3%
Crawley Town
12.5%
16
Head to Head
Jul 27, 2015 7.45pm
Pre-season Friendlies
Crawley
1-0
Reading
Henderson (78')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham24175242172556
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe26166452282454
3Wrexham26156538201851
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield25146539211848
5Barnsley2612684036442
6Stockport CountyStockport26118740281241
7Reading2512584036441
8Leyton Orient25115932221038
9Bolton WanderersBolton2511593839-138
10Mansfield TownMansfield2411493228437
11Lincoln CityLincoln269892930-135
12Charlton AthleticCharlton249782925434
13Rotherham UnitedRotherham259792826234
14Blackpool2571083437-331
15Stevenage248791922-331
16Exeter CityExeter2594122832-431
17Wigan AthleticWigan2486102324-130
18Bristol Rovers2584132539-1428
19Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2575134146-526
20Northampton TownNorthampton2668122440-1626
21Crawley TownCrawley2456132544-1921
22Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2555152645-1920
23Cambridge UnitedCambridge2546152445-2118
24Burton Albion2529142139-1815


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