Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 48.09%. A win for Rio Ave had a probability of 27.38% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.45%) and 0-2 (8.08%). The likeliest Rio Ave win was 1-0 (7.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.59%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Rio Ave | Draw | Braga |
27.38% ( -0.2) | 24.53% ( -0.07) | 48.09% ( 0.26) |
Both teams to score 55.45% ( 0.05) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.05% ( 0.14) | 46.94% ( -0.14) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.81% ( 0.13) | 69.19% ( -0.13) |
Rio Ave Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.95% ( -0.08) | 31.05% ( 0.08) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.64% ( -0.09) | 67.36% ( 0.09) |
Braga Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.41% ( 0.16) | 19.59% ( -0.16) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.48% ( 0.26) | 51.52% ( -0.27) |
Score Analysis |
Rio Ave | Draw | Braga |
1-0 @ 7.11% ( -0.06) 2-1 @ 6.78% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 4.16% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 2.64% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.16% ( -0) 3-0 @ 1.62% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.9% Total : 27.38% | 1-1 @ 11.59% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 6.08% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 5.53% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.17% ( 0) Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.52% | 0-1 @ 9.91% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 9.45% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 8.08% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 5.14% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 4.39% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 3% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 2.09% ( 0.03) 0-4 @ 1.79% ( 0.03) 2-4 @ 1.22% ( 0.01) Other @ 3% Total : 48.09% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 17 | 13 | 2 | 2 | 48 | 14 | 34 | 41 |
2 | Porto | 16 | 13 | 1 | 2 | 40 | 9 | 31 | 40 |
3 | Benfica | 17 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 38 | 11 | 27 | 38 |
4 | Braga | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 30 | 19 | 11 | 31 |
5 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 17 | 10 | 1 | 6 | 18 | 16 | 2 | 31 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 26 | 22 | 4 | 25 |
7 | Casa Pia | 17 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 24 |
8 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 22 | 25 | -3 | 22 |
9 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 17 | 4 | 8 | 5 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 20 |
10 | Rio AveRio Ave | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 27 | -10 | 19 |
11 | Gil Vicente | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 18 |
12 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 18 | 28 | -10 | 18 |
13 | Estrela Amadora | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 16 | 29 | -13 | 16 |
14 | AVS | 17 | 2 | 9 | 6 | 13 | 24 | -11 | 15 |
15 | AroucaArouca | 17 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 13 | 28 | -15 | 15 |
16 | SC FarenseFarense | 17 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 11 | 23 | -12 | 14 |
17 | Nacional | 16 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 11 | 23 | -12 | 13 |
18 | BoavistaBoavista | 17 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 26 | -15 | 12 |
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