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Barrow
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Walsall
Salford City
League Two | Gameweek 41
Mar 29, 2024 at 3pm UK
The Peninsula Stadium
Sutton United

Salford City
1 - 2
Sutton

Watson (50')
Vassell (90')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Sanderson (45+2', 63')
Smith (20'), Sanderson (56'), N'Guessan (88'), Beautyman (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's League Two clash between Salford City and Sutton United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Notts County 1-2 Salford City
Saturday, March 23 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Sutton 3-1 Accrington
Saturday, March 23 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Salford City 2-1 Sutton United

Sutton has been stringing some good results together lately, and they are in greater need of points in the fight for survival. However, the hosts have been strong recently as well, and with Salford boasting the home advantage here they could just get over the line and take all three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Salford City win with a probability of 47.55%. A win for Sutton United had a probability of 28.99% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Salford City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.19%) and 2-0 (7.14%). The likeliest Sutton United win was 1-2 (7.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.76%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.

Result
Salford CityDrawSutton United
47.55% (0.049999999999997 0.05) 23.45% (-0.13 -0.13) 28.99% (0.084 0.08)
Both teams to score 60.36% (0.522 0.52)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.98% (0.662 0.66)41.02% (-0.658 -0.66)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.59% (0.67100000000001 0.67)63.41% (-0.667 -0.67)
Salford City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.51% (0.277 0.28)17.49% (-0.273 -0.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.02% (0.478 0.48)47.98% (-0.474 -0.47)
Sutton United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.15% (0.39 0.39)26.85% (-0.387 -0.39)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.84% (0.50700000000001 0.51)62.15% (-0.50299999999999 -0.5)
Score Analysis
    Salford City 47.55%
    Sutton United 28.99%
    Draw 23.45%
Salford CityDrawSutton United
2-1 @ 9.39% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
1-0 @ 8.19% (-0.173 -0.17)
2-0 @ 7.14% (-0.086 -0.09)
3-1 @ 5.46% (0.043 0.04)
3-0 @ 4.15% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.59% (0.067 0.07)
4-1 @ 2.38% (0.04 0.04)
4-0 @ 1.81% (0.011 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.56% (0.042 0.04)
Other @ 3.9%
Total : 47.55%
1-1 @ 10.76% (-0.11 -0.11)
2-2 @ 6.17% (0.061 0.06)
0-0 @ 4.7% (-0.142 -0.14)
3-3 @ 1.57% (0.046 0.05)
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 23.45%
1-2 @ 7.08% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
0-1 @ 6.17% (-0.117 -0.12)
0-2 @ 4.06% (-0.032 -0.03)
1-3 @ 3.1% (0.037 0.04)
2-3 @ 2.71% (0.056 0.06)
0-3 @ 1.78% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-4 @ 1.02% (0.023 0.02)
Other @ 3.08%
Total : 28.99%

How you voted: Salford City vs Sutton

Salford City
80.0%
Draw
0.0%
Sutton United
20.0%
5
Head to Head
Oct 3, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 11
Sutton
0-2
Salford City

Kizzi (12')
Smith (54'), N'Mai (65')
Smith (23'), Bolton (44'), Lund (77')
Jan 14, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 27
Salford City
2-0
Sutton
McAleny (9', 45+1')
Sep 24, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 11
Sutton
1-2
Salford City
Neufville (62')
Lund (80'), Watson (87')
Feb 8, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 2
Sutton
0-0
Salford City
John (52'), Milsom (84')
Ndaba (86')
Aug 14, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 31
Salford City
0-0
Sutton
McAleny (42'), Lowe (61'), Elliott (90+3')
Davis (62')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall25184352232958
2Crewe AlexandraCrewe261210434221246
3Port Vale2612863227544
4AFC Wimbledon24134737191843
5Notts County25127641261543
6Doncaster RoversDoncaster2612773630643
7Salford City2512672921842
8Bradford CityBradford2511863427741
9Grimsby Town26122123741-438
10Chesterfield259883930935
11Bromley2581073531434
12MK Dons25104113937234
13Fleetwood TownFleetwood248973229333
14Colchester UnitedColchester2661372928131
15Cheltenham TownCheltenham2587103438-431
16Gillingham2493122225-330
17Harrogate TownHarrogate2785142337-1429
18BarrowBarrow2577112328-528
19Swindon TownSwindon27610113341-828
20Newport CountyNewport2475123243-1126
21Accrington StanleyAccrington2467113243-1125
22Tranmere RoversTranmere2567121839-2125
23Morecambe2555152240-1820
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle2546151939-2018


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