Eredivisie | Gameweek 13
Nov 25, 2023 at 3.30pm UK
Van Donge & De Roo Stadion
We said: SBV Excelsior 1-2 Feyenoord
Matches directly following an international break can sometimes be a little tricky for clubs like Feyenoord, whose players are returning from international duty. However, they will know that they cannot afford any more dropped points and will not have the luxury of resting too many first-team players.
We do not expect this one to be played at a blistering pace, and we feel like the visitors will look to manage this match rather than try to blow away their opponents.
Read more.
Data Analysis Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Feyenoord win with a probability of 64.02% . A draw had a probability of 19% and a win for SBV Excelsior had a probability of 16.97% .
The most likely scoreline for a Feyenoord win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.73% . The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.87%) and 0-1 (7.77%) . The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.52%) , while for a SBV Excelsior win it was 2-1 (4.67%) . The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood . Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Feyenoord would win this match.
Result SBV Excelsior Draw Feyenoord 16.97% ( 0.52) 19% ( 0.01) 64.02% ( -0.52)
Both teams to score 59.83% ( 1.21)
65.67% ( 1.01) 34.33% ( -1.01)
43.76% ( 1.13) 56.24% ( -1.13)
66.62% ( 1.23) 33.38% ( -1.23)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 29.99% ( 1.33) 70.01% ( -1.32)
89.82% ( 0.16) 10.18% ( -0.16)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 66.55% ( 0.36) 33.45% ( -0.36)
SBV Excelsior 16.97%
Feyenoord 64.02%
Draw 19%
SBV Excelsior Draw Feyenoord 2-1 @ 4.67% ( 0.1) 1-0 @ 3.73% ( -0.07) 2-0 @ 2.05% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 1.95% ( 0.12) 3-1 @ 1.71% ( 0.09) Other @ 2.86% Total : 16.97% 1-1 @ 8.52% ( -0.1) 2-2 @ 5.34% ( 0.15) 0-0 @ 3.4% ( -0.18) 3-3 @ 1.49% ( 0.1) Other @ 0.26% Total : 19% 1-2 @ 9.73% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 8.87% ( -0.34) 0-1 @ 7.77% ( -0.36) 1-3 @ 7.41% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 6.75% ( -0.21) 1-4 @ 4.23% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 4.07% ( 0.14) 0-4 @ 3.86% ( -0.1) 2-4 @ 2.32% ( 0.1) 1-5 @ 1.93% ( 0.03) 0-5 @ 1.76% ( -0.03) 2-5 @ 1.06% ( 0.05) Other @ 4.26% Total : 64.02%
How you voted: Excelsior vs Feyenoord
SBV Excelsior
Draw
Feyenoord
18
rhs 2.0
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