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Championship | Gameweek 19
Dec 2, 2023 at 3pm UK
St. Mary's Stadium
Cardiff City logo

Southampton
2 - 0
Cardiff

Armstrong (11', 15')
Downes (25')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Colwill (72')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Southampton and Cardiff City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Southampton 1-0 Bristol City
Wednesday, November 29 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Cardiff 0-1 West Brom
Tuesday, November 28 at 7.45pm in Championship

We said: Southampton 2-1 Cardiff City

Bulut will have his side motivated to hit back from their controversial defeat to West Brom earlier this week and we expect them to push Southampton all the way. Nevertheless, the Saints look like a team who can still be a factor in the automatic promotion race and we are backing another home victory here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton win with a probability of 48.29%. A win for Cardiff City had a probability of 27.25% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Southampton win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.47%) and 2-0 (8.1%). The likeliest Cardiff City win was 0-1 (7.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.55%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Southampton would win this match.

Result
SouthamptonDrawCardiff City
48.29% (0.0030000000000001 0) 24.46% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02) 27.25% (0.012 0.01)
Both teams to score 55.56% (0.052 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.26% (0.064999999999998 0.06)46.75% (-0.067 -0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.99% (0.059999999999999 0.06)69.01% (-0.063000000000002 -0.06)
Southampton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.58% (0.025999999999996 0.03)19.43% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.75% (0.045000000000002 0.05)51.25% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
Cardiff City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.96% (0.041999999999987 0.04)31.04% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.64% (0.048000000000002 0.05)67.36% (-0.049999999999997 -0.05)
Score Analysis
    Southampton 48.29%
    Cardiff City 27.25%
    Draw 24.45%
SouthamptonDrawCardiff City
1-0 @ 9.88% (-0.019 -0.02)
2-1 @ 9.47% (0.0010000000000012 0)
2-0 @ 8.1% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-1 @ 5.17% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-0 @ 4.42% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-2 @ 3.03% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.12% (0.004 0)
4-0 @ 1.81% (0.002 0)
4-2 @ 1.24% (0.004 0)
Other @ 3.06%
Total : 48.29%
1-1 @ 11.55% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.03% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.54% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.18% (0.004 0)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 24.45%
0-1 @ 7.05% (-0.011 -0.01)
1-2 @ 6.76% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 4.13% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-3 @ 2.64% (0.004 0)
2-3 @ 2.16% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.61% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.9%
Total : 27.25%

How you voted: Southampton vs Cardiff

Southampton
75.0%
Draw
10.7%
Cardiff City
14.3%
28
Head to Head
Jul 27, 2021 7pm
Pre-season Friendlies
Cardiff
0-4
Southampton
Walcott (37'), Djenepo (66'), Adams (73', 84')
Feb 9, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 26
Southampton
1-2
Cardiff
Stephens (91')
Ward-Prowse (45'), Redmond (89'), Romeu (90')
Bamba (69'), Zohore (93')
Gunnarsson (61'), Bamba (70'), Zohore (90')
Dec 8, 2018 3pm
Gameweek 16
Cardiff
1-0
Southampton
Paterson (74')
Morrison (19'), Bennett (66')

Valery (28'), Romeu (74')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sunderland1695226121432
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd1610422191232
3Burnley168621961330
4Leeds UnitedLeeds158522491529
5Middlesbrough1683529191027
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom166821811726
7Watford168262524126
8Millwall166641914524
9Blackburn RoversBlackburn156451917222
10Bristol City165742020022
11Derby CountyDerby165562020020
12Stoke CityStoke165561920-120
13Norwich CityNorwich164752524119
14Swansea CitySwansea155461110119
15Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds165471826-819
16Luton TownLuton165381826-818
17Coventry CityCoventry164572223-117
18Oxford UnitedOxford Utd164571924-517
19Plymouth ArgylePlymouth164571728-1117
20Preston North EndPreston163761624-816
21Cardiff CityCardiff164481524-916
22Hull City163671621-515
23Portsmouth152671628-1212
24Queens Park RangersQPR161871326-1311


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