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Championship header 2

League Two
Swindon Town
League Two | Gameweek 27
Jan 6, 2024 at 3pm UK
County Ground
Colchester United

Swindon
2 - 2
Colchester

Austin (18' pen.), Brewitt (43')
Shade (74')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Jay (45+2'), Ihionvien (90+4')
Chilvers (14'), Cowley (15'), Marshall-Miranda (64')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Swindon Town and Colchester United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Swindon Town

All competitions
Last Game: Crawley 3-1 Swindon
Monday, January 1 at 3pm in League Two

Colchester United

All competitions
Last Game: Colchester 0-1 Gillingham
Monday, January 1 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Swindon Town 0-2 Colchester United

 Colchester United will hope that Cowley's appointment has an immediate positive impact on the squad, and against a Swindon Town side who have just lost their two main attacking outlets at the start of the month, we fancy the visitors to prevail in their first game under new management this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 54.76%. A win for Colchester United had a probability of 23.65% and a draw had a probability of 21.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.73%) and 1-0 (7.71%). The likeliest Colchester United win was 1-2 (6.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.67%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.

Result
Swindon TownDrawColchester United
54.76% (-0.10599999999999 -0.11) 21.58% (0.047999999999998 0.05) 23.65% (0.058 0.06)
Both teams to score 61.82% (-0.095999999999997 -0.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.18% (-0.15900000000001 -0.16)36.82% (0.162 0.16)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.01% (-0.172 -0.17)58.99% (0.174 0.17)
Swindon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.51% (-0.085999999999999 -0.09)13.49% (0.088000000000001 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.48% (-0.172 -0.17)40.52% (0.17299999999999 0.17)
Colchester United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.46% (-0.039999999999992 -0.04)28.54% (0.042999999999999 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.68% (-0.050000000000004 -0.05)64.33% (0.052000000000007 0.05)
Score Analysis
    Swindon Town 54.76%
    Colchester United 23.65%
    Draw 21.58%
Swindon TownDrawColchester United
2-1 @ 9.69% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-0 @ 7.73% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
1-0 @ 7.71% (0.036 0.04)
3-1 @ 6.47% (-0.019 -0.02)
3-0 @ 5.16% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
3-2 @ 4.06% (-0.016 -0.02)
4-1 @ 3.24% (-0.019 -0.02)
4-0 @ 2.58% (-0.013 -0.01)
4-2 @ 2.03% (-0.015 -0.02)
5-1 @ 1.3% (-0.013 -0.01)
5-0 @ 1.04% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 3.77%
Total : 54.76%
1-1 @ 9.67% (0.033999999999999 0.03)
2-2 @ 6.07% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-0 @ 3.85% (0.031 0.03)
3-3 @ 1.7% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 0.3%
Total : 21.58%
1-2 @ 6.06% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
0-1 @ 4.83% (0.032 0.03)
0-2 @ 3.03% (0.017 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.54% (-0.0050000000000003 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.53% (0.0029999999999997 0)
0-3 @ 1.27% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 3.4%
Total : 23.65%

How you voted: Swindon vs Colchester

Swindon Town
28.6%
Draw
0.0%
Colchester United
71.4%
7
Head to Head
Nov 7, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 1
Colchester
3-1
Swindon
Kinsella (49' og.), Tovide (64'), Chilvers (90+3')
Tovide (49')
Young (23')
Kemp (31'), Kinsella (45')
> Preview
Jan 1, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 25
Colchester
1-0
Swindon
Hannant (30')
> Preview
Oct 15, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 15
Swindon
1-0
Colchester
Shade (64')
> Preview
Jan 29, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 29
Colchester
1-1
Swindon
Huws (90+2')
Tchamadeu (57'), Hannant (60'), Sears (90+5')
George (72'), Chambers (87')
McKirdy (68')
Lyden (43'), Conroy (90')
> Preview
Nov 30, 2021 7.45pm
Second Round
Swindon
1-2
Colchester
Crichlow (45+1')
Francis (45+2'), Dabre (82')
Chambers (6', 11')
Judge (14'), Smith (40'), Jasper (55'), McCoulsky (90+1')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Port Vale1610332416833
2Crewe AlexandraCrewe158431913628
3Doncaster RoversDoncaster168442218428
4Walsall1483327151227
5MK Dons168352719827
6Notts County167632315827
7Grimsby Town168171925-625
8Bradford CityBradford166552117423
9Gillingham157261612423
10AFC Wimbledon1371521111022
11Chesterfield165742920922
12BarrowBarrow166461715222
13Fleetwood TownFleetwood145632015521
14Salford City165651518-321
15Newport CountyNewport166281926-720
16Cheltenham TownCheltenham165382125-418
17Harrogate TownHarrogate165381422-818
18Accrington StanleyAccrington154562024-417
19Tranmere RoversTranmere144551017-717
20Bromley153751719-216
21Colchester UnitedColchester152851822-414
22Swindon TownSwindon162771825-713
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle1633101429-1512
24Morecambe1624101427-1310
> League Two Full Table


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