Copa Sudamericana | First Round
Mar 8, 2024 at 2am UK
Estadio Bellavista de Ambato
Tecnico Universitario0 - 3U. Catolica
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana First Round clash between Tecnico Universitario and Universidad Catolica.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Millonarios 2-1 U. Catolica
Friday, March 3 at 12am in Copa Libertadores
Friday, March 3 at 12am in Copa Libertadores
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tecnico Universitario win with a probability of 38.48%. A win for Universidad Catolica had a probability of 34.17% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tecnico Universitario win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.2%) and 2-0 (6.97%). The likeliest Universidad Catolica win was 0-1 (10.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.95%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Tecnico Universitario | Draw | Universidad Catolica |
38.48% ( -0.12) | 27.35% ( 0.17) | 34.17% ( -0.05) |
Both teams to score 49.65% ( -0.56) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.12% ( -0.69) | 55.88% ( 0.69) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.01% ( -0.57) | 76.99% ( 0.56) |
Tecnico Universitario Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.79% ( -0.4) | 28.2% ( 0.4) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.1% ( -0.51) | 63.9% ( 0.51) |
Universidad Catolica Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.15% ( -0.39) | 30.85% ( 0.38) |