Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 51.11%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Mallorca had a probability of 23.83%.
The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.49%) and 2-0 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.9%), while for a Mallorca win it was 0-1 (7.47%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Villarreal would win this match.
Result | ||
Villarreal | Draw | Mallorca |
51.11% ( -0.09) | 25.05% ( 0.05) | 23.83% ( 0.04) |
Both teams to score 50.48% ( -0.11) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.11% ( -0.17) | 51.89% ( 0.17) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.36% ( -0.14) | 73.64% ( 0.14) |
Villarreal Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.69% ( -0.1) | 20.3% ( 0.1) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.32% ( -0.17) | 52.68% ( 0.17) |
Mallorca Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.34% ( -0.06) | 36.65% ( 0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.56% ( -0.06) | 73.44% ( 0.06) |
Score Analysis |
Villarreal | Draw | Mallorca |
1-0 @ 11.86% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 9.49% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 9.46% ( 0) 3-1 @ 5.05% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 5.03% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.53% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 2.01% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 2% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.01% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.67% Total : 51.11% | 1-1 @ 11.9% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 7.44% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 4.76% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.94% Total : 25.04% | 0-1 @ 7.47% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 5.98% ( 0) 0-2 @ 3.75% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 2% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.59% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.25% ( 0) Other @ 1.79% Total : 23.83% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Madrid | 20 | 14 | 4 | 2 | 47 | 20 | 27 | 46 |
2 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 20 | 13 | 5 | 2 | 34 | 13 | 21 | 44 |
3 | Barcelona | 20 | 12 | 3 | 5 | 52 | 23 | 29 | 39 |
4 | Athletic Bilbao | 20 | 11 | 6 | 3 | 31 | 18 | 13 | 39 |
5 | Villarreal | 20 | 9 | 6 | 5 | 38 | 31 | 7 | 33 |
6 | Mallorca | 20 | 9 | 3 | 8 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 30 |
7 | Real Sociedad | 20 | 8 | 4 | 8 | 17 | 14 | 3 | 28 |
8 | GironaGirona | 20 | 8 | 4 | 8 | 28 | 27 | 1 | 28 |
9 | Rayo Vallecano | 20 | 6 | 8 | 6 | 23 | 23 | 0 | 26 |
10 | Osasuna | 20 | 6 | 8 | 6 | 24 | 29 | -5 | 26 |
11 | Sevilla | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 23 | 29 | -6 | 26 |
12 | Real BetisBetis | 20 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 22 | 26 | -4 | 25 |
13 | Celta Vigo | 20 | 7 | 3 | 10 | 29 | 32 | -3 | 24 |
14 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 20 | 6 | 4 | 10 | 25 | 33 | -8 | 22 |
15 | Leganes | 20 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 29 | -10 | 22 |
16 | Getafe | 20 | 4 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 17 | -3 | 20 |
17 | AlavesAlaves | 20 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 24 | 32 | -8 | 20 |
18 | Espanyol | 20 | 5 | 4 | 11 | 19 | 32 | -13 | 19 |
19 | Valencia | 20 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 19 | 29 | -10 | 16 |
20 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 20 | 4 | 3 | 13 | 14 | 39 | -25 | 15 |
> La Liga Full Table |