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Bundesliga | Gameweek 27
Mar 30, 2024 at 2.30pm UK
Weserstadion
Wolfsburg

Werder Bremen
0 - 2
Wolfsburg


Agu (14'), Ducksch (45+5'), Alvero (72'), Hansen-Aaroen (89')
Jung (43')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Lacroix (45+4'), Majer (84')
Baku (51'), Bornauw (70'), Zesiger (80'), Paredes (90+2')
Lacroix (76')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Werder Bremen and Wolfsburg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Werder Bremen

All competitions
Last Game: Union Berlin 2-1 Werder Bremen
Saturday, March 16 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Wolfsburg

All competitions
Last Game: Wolfsburg 1-3 Augsburg
Saturday, March 16 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Werder Bremen 2-2 Wolfsburg

 Having scored in all of their previous 13 matches and now facing a side with no clean sheet in 11 games, it is no surprise Bremen will come into this one as favourites. However, under new management, Wolfsburg will hope to turn a corner, and a fresh start under Hasenhuttl may end their recent rut, even if it does not start with an instant win. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Werder Bremen win with a probability of 39.81%. A win for Wolfsburg had a probability of 36.31% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Werder Bremen win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.22%) and 2-0 (5.72%). The likeliest Wolfsburg win was 1-2 (8.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.86%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.

Result
Werder BremenDrawWolfsburg
39.81% (0.071999999999996 0.07) 23.88% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01) 36.31% (-0.063000000000002 -0.06)
Both teams to score 61.82% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.62% (0.024000000000001 0.02)40.38% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.24% (0.023999999999994 0.02)62.76% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Werder Bremen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.49% (0.045000000000002 0.05)20.51% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.99% (0.069000000000003 0.07)53.01% (-0.064999999999998 -0.06)
Wolfsburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.77% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)22.23% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.34% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)55.66% (0.036999999999999 0.04)
Score Analysis
    Werder Bremen 39.81%
    Wolfsburg 36.31%
    Draw 23.88%
Werder BremenDrawWolfsburg
2-1 @ 8.6% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
1-0 @ 7.22% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-0 @ 5.72% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
3-1 @ 4.54% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.42% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-0 @ 3.02% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.8% (0.006 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.35% (0.004 0)
4-0 @ 1.2% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 39.81%
1-1 @ 10.86%
2-2 @ 6.47% (0.0020000000000007 0)
0-0 @ 4.56% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.71% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 23.88%
1-2 @ 8.17% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
0-1 @ 6.86% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-2 @ 5.16% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-3 @ 4.09% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-3 @ 3.24% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
0-3 @ 2.58% (-0.008 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.54% (-0.004 -0)
2-4 @ 1.22% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-4 @ 0.97% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 36.31%

How you voted: Werder Bremen vs Wolfsburg

Werder Bremen
34.1%
Draw
45.5%
Wolfsburg
20.5%
44
Head to Head
Nov 5, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 10
Wolfsburg
2-2
Werder Bremen
Cerny (37'), Paredes (59')
Lacroix (5'), Paredes (66'), Wind (80')
Lacroix (88')
Ducksch (7'), Borre (65')
Bittencourt (63')
> Preview
Jan 28, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 18
Werder Bremen
2-1
Wolfsburg
Fullkrug (24' pen., 77')
Paredes (90')
> Preview
Aug 6, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 1
Wolfsburg
2-2
Werder Bremen
Nmecha (11'), Guilavogui (84')
van de Ven (52'), Nmecha (90+3')
Fullkrug (21'), Bittencourt (23')
Weiser (56'), Pieper (58')
> Preview
Mar 20, 2021 2.30pm
Gameweek 26
Werder Bremen
1-2
Wolfsburg
Mohwald (45')
Sargent (57'), Fullkrug (90+1'), Bittencourt (90+3')
Sargent (9' og.), Weghorst (42')
Schlager (81')
> Preview
Nov 27, 2020 7.30pm
Gameweek 9
Wolfsburg
5-3
Werder Bremen
Baku (22'), Brooks (25'), Weghorst (37', 76'), Bialek (90+5')
Lacroix (73'), Arnold (81')
Bittencourt (13'), Mohwald (36'), Brooks (47' og.)
Mbom (24'), Mohwald (57')
Mohwald (80')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern108203372626
2RB Leipzig106311551021
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1062226161020
4Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen104512116517
5Freiburg105231311217
6Union BerlinUnion Berlin1044298116
7Borussia DortmundDortmund105141818016
8Werder Bremen104331721-415
9Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach104241514114
10Mainz 05Mainz103431514113
11Stuttgart103431919013
12Wolfsburg103341918112
13Augsburg103341320-712
14Heidenheim103161315-210
15Hoffenheim102351319-69
16St Pauli10226712-58
17Holstein Kiel101271225-135
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum100281030-202
> Bundesliga Full Table


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