Liga MX | Gameweek 1
Jan 11, 2025 at 3.05am UK
Estadio Caliente
Tijuana2 - 4Toluca
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Club Tijuana and Toluca.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Cruz Azul 3-0 Tijuana
Sunday, December 1 at 1.10am in Liga MX
Sunday, December 1 at 1.10am in Liga MX
Goals
for
for
27
Last Game: Toluca 0-2 America
Saturday, November 30 at 11pm in Liga MX
Saturday, November 30 at 11pm in Liga MX
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club Tijuana win with a probability of 42.03%. A win for Toluca had a probability of 33.37% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Club Tijuana win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.46%) and 2-0 (6.56%). The likeliest Toluca win was 1-2 (7.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.48%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Club Tijuana | Draw | Toluca |
42.03% ( 0.05) | 24.6% ( -0.01) | 33.37% ( -0.04) |
Both teams to score 58.53% ( 0.03) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.62% ( 0.04) | 44.38% ( -0.04) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.25% ( 0.04) | 66.75% ( -0.04) |
Club Tijuana Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.81% ( 0.04) | 21.18% ( -0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.94% ( 0.06) | 54.06% ( -0.06) |
Toluca Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.27% ( -0) | 25.73% ( 0) |