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Premier League | Gameweek 22
Mar 1, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Turf Moor
Leicester logo

Burnley
0 - 2
Leicester


Weghorst (57')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Maddison (82'), Vardy (90')
Dewsbury-Hall (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Premier League clash between Burnley and Leicester City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Burnley 0-2 Leicester City

With Leicester hoping to be boosted by several major returns from injury, a Burnley side lacking a proper presence up top will surely fall short again once more. The Clarets have their own COVID-19 cluster to worry about, and confidence will not exactly be high after bowing out of the FA Cup to lower-league opposition, so a win and clean sheet should be on the menu for Leicester. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leicester City win with a probability of 45.99%. A win for Burnley had a probability of 29.21% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leicester City win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.28%) and 0-2 (7.66%). The likeliest Burnley win was 1-0 (7.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.71%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-2 win for Leicester City in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Leicester City.

Result
BurnleyDrawLeicester City
29.21%24.8%45.99%
Both teams to score 55.86%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.99%47%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.75%69.25%
Burnley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.26%29.74%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.19%65.8%
Leicester City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.5%20.5%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.01%52.98%
Score Analysis
    Burnley 29.21%
    Leicester City 45.99%
    Draw 24.79%
BurnleyDrawLeicester City
1-0 @ 7.39%
2-1 @ 7.1%
2-0 @ 4.48%
3-1 @ 2.87%
3-2 @ 2.28%
3-0 @ 1.81%
Other @ 3.27%
Total : 29.21%
1-1 @ 11.71%
0-0 @ 6.1%
2-2 @ 5.63%
3-3 @ 1.2%
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 24.79%
0-1 @ 9.66%
1-2 @ 9.28%
0-2 @ 7.66%
1-3 @ 4.91%
0-3 @ 4.04%
2-3 @ 2.97%
1-4 @ 1.94%
0-4 @ 1.6%
2-4 @ 1.18%
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 45.99%

How you voted: Burnley vs Leicester

Burnley
30.7%
Draw
22.5%
Leicester City
46.8%
342
Head to Head
Sep 25, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 6
Leicester
2-2
Burnley
Vardy (37', 85')
Vestergaard (6'), Barnes (77')
Vardy (12' og.), Cornet (40')
Cornet (45+1'), Westwood (60'), Berg Gudmundsson (68'), Tarkowski (90')
Mar 3, 2021 6pm
Gameweek 29
Burnley
1-1
Leicester
Vydra (4')
Iheanacho (34')
Fofana (79'), Pereira (90+2')
Sep 20, 2020 7pm
Gameweek 2
Leicester
4-2
Burnley
Barnes (20'), Pieters (50' og.), Justin (61'), Praet (79')
Mendy (25')
Wood (10'), Dunne (73')
Rodriguez (8'), Bardsley (90+1')
Jan 19, 2020 2pm
Oct 19, 2019 3pm
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool19144147192846
2Arsenal20117239182140
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest20124429191040
4Chelsea20106439241536
5Newcastle UnitedNewcastle20105534221235
6Manchester CityMan City2010463627934
7Bournemouth209653023733
8Aston Villa209563032-232
9Fulham207943027330
10Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton2061043029128
11Brentford208393835327
12Tottenham HotspurSpurs20731042301224
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd206592328-523
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham206592439-1523
15Crystal Palace204972128-721
16Everton193881525-1017
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves2044123145-1416
18Ipswich TownIpswich2037102035-1516
19Leicester CityLeicester2035122344-2114
20Southampton2013161244-326


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