Australian A-League | Gameweek 20
Mar 12, 2023 at 4am UK
AAMI Park
Melbourne City2 - 1Brisbane Roar
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Adelaide United 4-2 Melbourne City
Friday, March 3 at 8.45am in Australian A-League
Friday, March 3 at 8.45am in Australian A-League
Goals
for
for
44
Last Game: Macarthur 3-2 Brisbane Roar
Sunday, March 5 at 4am in Australian A-League
Sunday, March 5 at 4am in Australian A-League
Goals
for
for
17
We said: Melbourne City 3-0 Brisbane Roar
Melbourne City might have suffered a couple of defeats as of late, but they have still showcased great attacking qualities in their performances. With the visitors struggling throughout the season, this should be a game where the league leaders get back to winning ways. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne City win with a probability of 66.12%. A draw had a probability of 18.9% and a win for Brisbane Roar had a probability of 15%.
The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.82%) and 1-0 (9.07%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.77%), while for a Brisbane Roar win it was 1-2 (4.25%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Melbourne City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Melbourne City | Draw | Brisbane Roar |
66.12% ( -0.38) | 18.89% ( 0.23) | 15% ( 0.15) |
| Both teams to score 55.39% ( -0.46) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
