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[monks data]
Barnsley
Championship | Gameweek 13
Nov 24, 2020 at 7.45pm UK
Oakwell Stadium
Brentford logo

Barnsley
0 - 1
Brentford


Chaplin (40')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Toney (66')

Preview: Barnsley vs. Brentford - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Championship clash between Barnsley and Brentford, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Barnsley welcome Brentford to Oakwell on Tuesday evening with the opportunity to move ahead of last season's playoff runners-up in the Championship table.

Although the Bees travel to Yorkshire on a five-match unbeaten streak, four of those games have ended in low-scoring draws.


Match preview

Brentford manager Thomas Frank pictured on November 7, 2020© Reuters

While his side are keeping things tight at the back, Brentford boss Thomas Frank will feel that it is only a matter of time before his players find their rhythm at the other end of the pitch.

However, failing to score in two games in succession is a rarity for the Bees, and Frank may now start to consider making alterations to his trademark tactics.

Ivan Toney and Marcus Forss have scored all but three of Brentford's goals in the second tier this season, and thought will be given to using the pair in tandem.

Aside from Bryan Mbuemo, Frank's creative players are failing to replicate Said Benrahma's efforts from the last campaign, something which is desperately hindering their progress up the standings.

Sitting seven points off top spot is far from a disaster in November, but Frank will be the first to acknowledge that Toney and Forss require further assistance in attack.

Despite their contrasting positions last season, it is questionable whether Brentford should remain favourites for this encounter after Valerien Ismael's instant impact at Oakwell.

Twelve points have been recorded from a possible 15, with all four of Barnsley's victories being accompanied by a clean sheet.

In the short term, Ismael will be delighted to have moved the club eight points clear of the relegation zone, but the Tykes have the potential to emerge as outsiders for this season's playoffs.

While it is still early days in the Frenchman's reign, this group of players are all pulling in the right direction, and a fifth success since his October 23 appointment would be regarded as a statement of intent.

Barnsley Championship form: DWWLWW

Brentford Championship form: LDWDDD


Team News

Barnsley manager Valerien Ismael pictured in October 2020© Reuters

Despite his game-changing substitutions against Nottingham Forest, Ismael may stick with the same Barnsley XI.

After six appearances off the bench, recent signing Herbie Kane is pushing for his first start since his arrival from Liverpool.

Frank will hope to be able to call upon Ethan Pinnock after the centre-back missed the Wycombe game through a dead leg.

Emiliano Marcondes is expected to replace Saman Ghoddos, while Forss or Tariqe Fosu-Henry may get an opportunity in the front three.

Barnsley possible starting lineup:
Walton; Sollbauer, Helik, Andersen; Brittain, James, Mowatt, Styles; Frieser; Woodrow, Chaplin

Brentford possible starting lineup:
Raya; Dalsgaard, Jansson, Sorensen, Henry; Marcondes, Jensen, Dasilva; Mbuemo, Toney, Fosu-Henry


SM words green background

We say: Barnsley 1-2 Brentford

If Barnsley are able to prevail on Tuesday evening, few people would regard it as a surprise result. However, it is that change of perception which may motivate Brentford to make improvements in the final third, and we are backing the Bees to come through with maximum points in an entertaining contest.


Top betting tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting a double chance bet on a home win or an away win in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Home/Away:data



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brentford win with a probability of 50.35%. A draw had a probability of 26.5% and a win for Barnsley had a probability of 23.19%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brentford win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.05%) and 1-2 (9.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.37%), while for a Barnsley win it was 1-0 (8.42%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Brentford in this match.


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Game History

Who will win Tuesday's Championship clash between Barnsley and Brentford?

Barnsley
48.0%
Draw
21.3%
Brentford
30.7%
75
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Brentford manager Thomas Frank pictured on September 16, 2020
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