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Portsmouth
Championship | Gameweek 27
Jan 18, 2025 at 3.35pm UK
Fratton Park
Middlesbrough logo

Portsmouth
2 - 1
Middlesbrough

Ritchie (54', 82')
Ritchie (40')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Latte Lath (30')
Doak (24'), Edmundson (55')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Portsmouth and Middlesbrough, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Blackburn 3-0 Portsmouth
Wednesday, January 15 at 7.45pm in Championship

We said: Portsmouth 1-2 Middlesbrough

While Portsmouth may have fared well in recent home outings, they will be aware of the tough test that awaits them on Saturday, and we think that Middlesbrough will have the extra quality required to condemn Pompey to their first home defeat since October. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 49.8%. A win for Portsmouth had a probability of 26.44% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.33%) and 0-2 (8.04%). The likeliest Portsmouth win was 2-1 (6.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.13%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.

Result
PortsmouthDrawMiddlesbrough
26.44% (0.042000000000002 0.04) 23.75% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02) 49.8% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)
Both teams to score 57.22% (0.097999999999999 0.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.77% (0.112 0.11)44.23% (-0.11300000000001 -0.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.39% (0.11000000000001 0.11)66.6% (-0.11 -0.11)
Portsmouth Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.66% (0.093000000000004 0.09)30.34% (-0.094000000000001 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.47% (0.111 0.11)66.52% (-0.111 -0.11)
Middlesbrough Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.15% (0.033000000000001 0.03)17.85% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.39% (0.055 0.05)48.61% (-0.055999999999997 -0.06)
Score Analysis
    Portsmouth 26.44%
    Middlesbrough 49.81%
    Draw 23.75%
PortsmouthDrawMiddlesbrough
2-1 @ 6.64% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
1-0 @ 6.46% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
2-0 @ 3.85% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-1 @ 2.64% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.27% (0.011 0.01)
3-0 @ 1.53% (0.004 0)
Other @ 3.05%
Total : 26.44%
1-1 @ 11.13% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.72% (0.013 0.01)
0-0 @ 5.42% (-0.027 -0.03)
3-3 @ 1.31% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 23.75%
1-2 @ 9.59% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
0-1 @ 9.33% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)
0-2 @ 8.04% (-0.022 -0.02)
1-3 @ 5.51% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
0-3 @ 4.62% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-3 @ 3.29% (0.011 0.01)
1-4 @ 2.37% (0.004 0)
0-4 @ 1.99% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
2-4 @ 1.42% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 3.65%
Total : 49.81%

How you voted: Portsmouth vs Middlesbrough

Portsmouth
16.7%
Draw
19.4%
Middlesbrough
63.9%
36
Head to Head
Aug 24, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 3
Middlesbrough
2-2
Portsmouth
Clarke (11'), Conway (90' pen.)
Saydee (2', 25')
Towler (42'), Saydee (43'), Blair (54'), Norris (57'), Williams (80')
Mar 3, 2012 3pm
Portsmouth
1-3
Middlesbrough
Halford (66' pen.)
Ben Haim (45'), Halford (55'), Rocha (55'), Ward (61'), Norris (69')
Bates (63'), Robson (56' pen.)
Bates (31'), Williams (45'), Robson (66')
Williams (90')
Aug 6, 2011 3pm
Middlesbrough
2-2
Portsmouth
Williams (54'), Emnes (24')
McDonald (56'), Williams (71')
Norris (47'), Varney (90')
Ben Haim (56'), Halford (56'), Ward (74'), Mokoena (76')
Mar 12, 2011 3pm
Oct 2, 2010 3pm
Middlesbrough
2-2
Portsmouth
Bates (29'), Robson (42' pen.)
Bates (56'), McMahon (88')
Robson (86')
Lawrence (88' pen.), Nugent (60')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds28178353193459
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd29186540211958
3Burnley28151123692756
4Sunderland291510442241855
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom291014538251344
6Middlesbrough29128947361144
7Blackburn RoversBlackburn29126113228442
8Bristol City29101183734341
9Watford29125124041-141
10Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds29118104245-341
11Norwich CityNorwich29109104842639
12Coventry CityCoventry29108113938138
13Queens Park RangersQPR2991193237-538
14Preston North EndPreston2981383236-437
15Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2999113343-1036
16Millwall28810102726134
17Swansea CitySwansea2997133240-834
18Cardiff CityCardiff29710123344-1131
19Hull City2978143038-829
20Stoke CityStoke29611122636-1029
21Portsmouth2878133651-1529
22Derby CountyDerby2976163240-827
23Luton TownLuton2975172948-1926
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth29410152762-3522


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