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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 49.8%. A win for Portsmouth had a probability of 26.44% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.33%) and 0-2 (8.04%). The likeliest Portsmouth win was 2-1 (6.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.13%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Portsmouth | Draw | Middlesbrough |
26.44% ( 0.04) | 23.75% ( -0.02) | 49.8% ( -0.03) |
Both teams to score 57.22% ( 0.1) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.77% ( 0.11) | 44.23% ( -0.11) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.39% ( 0.11) | 66.6% ( -0.11) |
Portsmouth Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.66% ( 0.09) | 30.34% ( -0.09) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.47% ( 0.11) | 66.52% ( -0.11) |
Middlesbrough Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.15% ( 0.03) | 17.85% ( -0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.39% ( 0.05) | 48.61% ( -0.06) |
Score Analysis |
Portsmouth | Draw | Middlesbrough |
2-1 @ 6.64% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 6.46% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 3.85% ( 0) 3-1 @ 2.64% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.27% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 1.53% ( 0) Other @ 3.05% Total : 26.44% | 1-1 @ 11.13% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.72% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 5.42% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 1.31% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.18% Total : 23.75% | 1-2 @ 9.59% ( -0) 0-1 @ 9.33% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 8.04% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 5.51% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 4.62% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 3.29% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 2.37% ( 0) 0-4 @ 1.99% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.42% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.65% Total : 49.81% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 28 | 17 | 8 | 3 | 53 | 19 | 34 | 59 |
2 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 29 | 18 | 6 | 5 | 40 | 21 | 19 | 58 |
3 | Burnley | 28 | 15 | 11 | 2 | 36 | 9 | 27 | 56 |
4 | Sunderland | 29 | 15 | 10 | 4 | 42 | 24 | 18 | 55 |
5 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 29 | 10 | 14 | 5 | 38 | 25 | 13 | 44 |
6 | Middlesbrough | 29 | 12 | 8 | 9 | 47 | 36 | 11 | 44 |
7 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 29 | 12 | 6 | 11 | 32 | 28 | 4 | 42 |
8 | Bristol City | 29 | 10 | 11 | 8 | 37 | 34 | 3 | 41 |
9 | Watford | 29 | 12 | 5 | 12 | 40 | 41 | -1 | 41 |
10 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 29 | 11 | 8 | 10 | 42 | 45 | -3 | 41 |
11 | Norwich CityNorwich | 29 | 10 | 9 | 10 | 48 | 42 | 6 | 39 |
12 | Coventry CityCoventry | 29 | 10 | 8 | 11 | 39 | 38 | 1 | 38 |
13 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 29 | 9 | 11 | 9 | 32 | 37 | -5 | 38 |
14 | Preston North EndPreston | 29 | 8 | 13 | 8 | 32 | 36 | -4 | 37 |
15 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 29 | 9 | 9 | 11 | 33 | 43 | -10 | 36 |
16 | Millwall | 28 | 8 | 10 | 10 | 27 | 26 | 1 | 34 |
17 | Swansea CitySwansea | 29 | 9 | 7 | 13 | 32 | 40 | -8 | 34 |
18 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 29 | 7 | 10 | 12 | 33 | 44 | -11 | 31 |
19 | Hull City | 29 | 7 | 8 | 14 | 30 | 38 | -8 | 29 |
20 | Stoke CityStoke | 29 | 6 | 11 | 12 | 26 | 36 | -10 | 29 |
21 | Portsmouth | 28 | 7 | 8 | 13 | 36 | 51 | -15 | 29 |
22 | Derby CountyDerby | 29 | 7 | 6 | 16 | 32 | 40 | -8 | 27 |
23 | Luton TownLuton | 29 | 7 | 5 | 17 | 29 | 48 | -19 | 26 |
24 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 29 | 4 | 10 | 15 | 27 | 62 | -35 | 22 |
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